Premier League · 2024Sat, 4 Jan 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Manchester City

DLLDW

4–1Full-time recap

West Ham United

WDDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Manchester City	West Ham United
Shots	10 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.91 xG/match▲	1.37 xG/match
Possession	56%●	44%
Corners	7 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Manchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.2 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Manchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.1 shots/match▲ShotsManchester City · West Ham United14.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Manchester City	West Ham United	Baseline
Shots	17.1 shots/match	14.6 shots/match	13.6 shots/match
Shots against	9.7 shots/match	16.6 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Ham United.

6.02 days▲Rest daysManchester City · West Ham United5.91 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Manchester City	West Ham United	Baseline
Rest days	6.02 days	5.91 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

5Manchester City

0Draws

0West Ham United

31 Aug 2024West Ham United — Manchester City · Premier League1–3

19 May 2024Manchester City — West Ham United · Premier League3–1

16 Sept 2023West Ham United — Manchester City · Premier League1–3

3 May 2023Manchester City — West Ham United · Premier League3–0

7 Aug 2022West Ham United — Manchester City · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Manchester City favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 0 · 3 too close

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/201.2 goals/match

1.35 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/201.95 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 20/201.45 xG/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 20/201.82 xG/match

17.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/2014.6 shots/match

9.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 20/2016.6 shots/match

5.9 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/204.35 shots/match

3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/205.5 shots/match

61.5%●Possessionseason · 20/2046.8%

8.1 corners/match●Cornersseason · 20/204.9 corners/match

3.05 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 20/206.15 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

7.55 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2011.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2020%

90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2080%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester City97.5

West Ham United32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester City85.8

West Ham United44.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester City79.2

West Ham United19.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester City62.5

West Ham United82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester City2.5

West Ham United62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester City97.5

West Ham United42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester City71.2

West Ham United51.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Manchester City20 matchesWest Ham United20 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored20/201.2 goals/match

1.35 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/201.95 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals20/201.45 xG/match

17.1 shots/match▲Shots20/2014.6 shots/match

5.9 shots/match▲Shots on target20/204.35 shots/match

61.5%●Possession20/2046.8%

8.1 corners/match●Corners20/204.9 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.55 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Manchester City10 matchesWest Ham United10 matches

2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

2.17 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.32 xG/match

19.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1015.8 shots/match

6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match

62%●Possession10/1046.7%

9 corners/match●Corners10/104.3 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.02 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.91 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples20 / 20home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Jan 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4