Premier League · 2024Sat, 4 Jan 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Bournemouth

WDWDD

1–0Full-time recap

Everton

WDDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bournemouth	Everton
Shots	19 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	0 shots/match
Expected goals	1.84 xG/match▲	0.71 xG/match
Possession	58%●	42%
Corners	9 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bournemouth: 19 shots, 8 on target, 1.82 xG. Everton: 9 shots, 0 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bournemouth 1.82 xG · Everton 0.69 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bournemouth, Everton. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.2 goals/match	0.79 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bournemouth, Everton.

6 days▲Rest daysBournemouth · Everton6 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Bournemouth	Everton	Baseline
Rest days	6 days	6 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bournemouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.7 shots/match▲ShotsBournemouth · Everton11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bournemouth	Everton	Baseline
Shots	16.7 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	13.6 shots/match
Shots against	13 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Bournemouth

0Draws

2Everton

31 Aug 2024Everton — Bournemouth · Premier League2–3

30 Mar 2024Bournemouth — Everton · Premier League2–1

7 Oct 2023Everton — Bournemouth · Premier League3–0

28 May 2023Everton — Bournemouth · Premier League1–0

12 Nov 2022Bournemouth — Everton · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Bournemouth favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 1 · 4 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/190.79 goals/match

1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/191.32 goals/match

1.99 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 20/190.97 xG/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 20/191.41 xG/match

16.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/1911.4 shots/match

13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/1913.3 shots/match

5.7 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/193.32 shots/match

4.85 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/194.68 shots/match

46.1%●Possessionseason · 20/1939.8%

6.6 corners/match●Cornersseason · 20/194.05 corners/match

5.05 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 20/195.89 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/1911.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/19▲37%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/1942%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bournemouth27.5

Everton7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bournemouth75.8

Everton17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bournemouth49.2

Everton46.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bournemouth97.5

Everton72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth97.5

Everton52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth85

Everton12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bournemouth89.4

Everton27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Bournemouth20 matchesEverton19 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored20/190.79 goals/match

1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/191.32 goals/match

1.99 xG/match▲Expected goals20/190.97 xG/match

16.7 shots/match▲Shots20/1911.4 shots/match

5.7 shots/match▲Shots on target20/193.32 shots/match

46.1%●Possession20/1939.8%

6.6 corners/match●Corners20/194.05 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls20/1911.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Bournemouth10 matchesEverton10 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.6 goals/match

0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

1.99 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.94 xG/match

18 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.5 shots/match

6.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match

44.8%●Possession10/1036.7%

6.8 corners/match●Corners10/103.9 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples20 / 19home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Jan 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4