Premier League · 2024

Wolverhampton 2–0 Aston Villa · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wolverhampton won 2–0.

Shots
810
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.570.51
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wolverhampton beat Aston Villa 2–0. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Aston Villa): shots 8–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.57–0.51, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.42 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aston Villa have a visible away split

moderate

Aston Villa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsWolverhampton · Aston Villa12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonAston VillaBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots10 shotsWolverhampton 8 shots, Aston Villa 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsWolverhampton 5 shots, Aston Villa 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.57 xG0.51 xGWolverhampton 1.57 xG, Aston Villa 0.51 xG
  • Possession32%68%Wolverhampton 32%, Aston Villa 68%
  • Corners5 corners8 cornersWolverhampton 5 corners, Aston Villa 8 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls13 foulsWolverhampton 20 fouls, Aston Villa 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Leon Bailey · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBoubacar Kamara · Aston Villa · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Aston Villa · 86′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.12 xG · goalDonyell Malen · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolverhampton · 12′ · 0.15 xG · goalGonçalo Guedes · Wolverhampton · 36′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 36′ · 0.23 xG · on targetGonçalo Guedes · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.42 xG · on targetGonçalo Guedes · Wolverhampton · 44′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.65 xG. Aston Villa: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolverhampton · 12′Matheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 1.65 xG · Aston Villa 0.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Wolverhampton
2Draws
2Aston Villa
Aston Villa — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–1
Aston Villa — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0
Wolverhampton — Aston Villa · Premier League1–1
Wolverhampton — Aston Villa · Premier League1–0
Aston Villa — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton24 matchesAston Villa24 matches
1.42 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.42 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.54 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.47 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 12.5 shots/match
4.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/244.13 shots/match
46.5%Possession24/24● 50.4%
3.33 corners/matchCorners24/24● 6.25 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2411.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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