PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Leicester City 0–2 Arsenal · Premier League

0–2Historical match

Arsenal

DWDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal won 0–2.

Shots
611
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.221.38
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal beat Leicester City 2–0. Recorded in this match (Leicester City – Arsenal): shots 6–11, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.22–1.38, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.16 shots/match ▲ShotsLeicester City · Arsenal13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeicester CityArsenalBaseline
Shots9.16 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Arsenal have a visible away split

moderate

Arsenal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots11 shotsLeicester City 6 shots, Arsenal 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsLeicester City 2 shots, Arsenal 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.22 xG1.38 xGLeicester City 0.22 xG, Arsenal 1.38 xG
  • Possession40%60%Leicester City 40%, Arsenal 60%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersLeicester City 3 corners, Arsenal 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsLeicester City 9 fouls, Arsenal 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Stephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaheem Sterling · Arsenal · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBilal El Khannouss · Leicester City · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetThomas Partey · Arsenal · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWilfred Ndidi · Leicester City · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWilfred Ndidi · Leicester City · 10′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 16′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 9′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMikel Merino · Arsenal · 81′ · 0.27 xG · goalMikel Merino · Arsenal · 87′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leicester City: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.21 xG. Arsenal: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mikel Merino · Arsenal · 81′Mikel Merino · Arsenal · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 0.21 xG · Arsenal 1.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Leicester City
0Draws
5Arsenal
Arsenal — Leicester City · Premier League4–2
Leicester City — Arsenal · Premier League0–1
Arsenal — Leicester City · Premier League4–2
Arsenal — Leicester City · Premier League2–0
Leicester City — Arsenal · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Leicester City favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Leicester City25 matchesArsenal25 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 2.04 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.88 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.65 xG/match
9.16 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.08 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 5.08 shots/match
45.6%Possession25/25● 55.1%
3.56 corners/matchCorners25/25● 6.48 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLeicester CityArsenal
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headLeicester City — Arsenal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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