Premier League · 2024Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 12:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Leicester City

LLLWL

0–2Full-time recap

Arsenal

DWDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Leicester City	Arsenal
Shots	6 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.22 xG/match	1.38 xG/match▲
Possession	40%	60%●
Corners	3 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	9 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Leicester City: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.21 xG. Arsenal: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 0.21 xG · Arsenal 1.40 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.16 shots/match▲ShotsLeicester City · Arsenal13.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Leicester City	Arsenal	Baseline
Shots	9.16 shots/match	13.6 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	16.6 shots/match	10.1 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Arsenal have a visible away split

moderate

Arsenal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.4 shots/match	13.6 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Leicester City

0Draws

5Arsenal

28 Sept 2024Arsenal — Leicester City · Premier League4–2

25 Feb 2023Leicester City — Arsenal · Premier League0–1

13 Aug 2022Arsenal — Leicester City · Premier League4–2

13 Mar 2022Arsenal — Leicester City · Premier League2–0

30 Oct 2021Leicester City — Arsenal · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leicester City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Arsenal in 11 · 2 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/25▲2.04 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/25▲0.88 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 25/25▲1.65 xG/match

1.93 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 25/25▲0.86 xG/match

9.16 shots/matchShotsseason · 25/25▲13.6 shots/match

16.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 25/25▲10.1 shots/match

3.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 25/25▲5.08 shots/match

5.92 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 25/25▲3.32 shots/match

45.6%Possessionseason · 25/25●55.1%

3.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/25●6.48 corners/match

6.36 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/25▲2.92 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2511.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

4%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/25▲36%

68%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/25▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leicester City22.5

Arsenal77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leicester City7.5

Arsenal70.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leicester City10.8

Arsenal92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leicester City7.5

Arsenal32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leicester City27.5

Arsenal47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leicester City7.5

Arsenal77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leicester City11.2

Arsenal62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leicester City25 matchesArsenal25 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲2.04 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲0.88 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲1.65 xG/match

9.16 shots/matchShots25/25▲13.6 shots/match

3.08 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲5.08 shots/match

45.6%Possession25/25●55.1%

3.56 corners/matchCorners25/25●6.48 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leicester City13 matchesArsenal13 matches

0.85 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.85 goals/match

1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲0.92 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.48 xG/match

9.31 shots/matchShots13/13▲10.4 shots/match

3.08 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲3.77 shots/match

48.4%Possession13/13●52.5%

3.54 corners/matchCorners13/13●4.69 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.8 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples25 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

Arsenal have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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