Premier League · 2024Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

West Ham United

LWLDL

0–1Full-time recap

Brentford

WDLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Brentford
Shots	13 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.82 xG/match	1.66 xG/match▲
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	9 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

West Ham United: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.83 xG. Brentford: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 0.83 xG · Brentford 1.68 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brentford's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: West Ham United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.72 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.72 goals/match	1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

West Ham United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

West Ham United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham United · Brentford11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham United	Brentford	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	16.5 shots/match	18 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Brentford have a visible away split

moderate

Brentford's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.67 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1West Ham United

1Draws

3Brentford

28 Sept 2024Brentford — West Ham United · Premier League1–1

26 Feb 2024West Ham United — Brentford · Premier League4–2

4 Nov 2023Brentford — West Ham United · Premier League3–2

14 May 2023Brentford — West Ham United · Premier League2–0

30 Dec 2022West Ham United — Brentford · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Brentford in 5 · 4 too close

1.16 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/25▲1.72 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/25▲1.68 goals/match

1.35 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 25/25▲1.63 xG/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 25/25▲1.6 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 25/2511.5 shots/match

16.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 25/2518 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 25/25▲5 shots/match

5.32 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 25/255.96 shots/match

47.1%Possessionseason · 25/25●47.6%

4.6 corners/match●Cornersseason · 25/254.52 corners/match

5.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 25/256.8 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/257.88 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2516%

76%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2576%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United37.5

Brentford42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United35

Brentford53.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United20.8

Brentford12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United77.5

Brentford22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United52.5

Brentford7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United37.5

Brentford32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United42.5

Brentford33.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United25 matchesBrentford25 matches

1.16 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲1.72 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲1.68 goals/match

1.35 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲1.63 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots25/2511.5 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲5 shots/match

47.1%Possession25/25●47.6%

4.6 corners/match●Corners25/254.52 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls25/257.88 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United13 matchesBrentford12 matches

1.23 goals/match▲Goals scored13/121.17 goals/match

2.08 goals/matchGoals allowed13/12▲1.42 goals/match

1.38 xG/matchExpected goals13/121.33 xG/match

12 shots/match▲Shots13/129.67 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on target13/124.08 shots/match

47.9%●Possession13/1244.4%

5.08 corners/match●Corners13/123.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls13/128.83 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

11.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples25 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4