PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Arsenal 0–1 West Ham United · Premier League

Arsenal

WDWWW
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

West Ham United won 0–1.

Shots
205
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.231.2
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

West Ham United beat Arsenal 1–0. Recorded in this match (Arsenal – West Ham United): shots 20–5, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.23–1.2, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Arsenal have a visible home split

moderate

Arsenal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Arsenal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Arsenal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsArsenal · West Ham United13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArsenalWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against9.92 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots5 shotsArsenal 20 shots, West Ham United 5 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsArsenal 2 shots, West Ham United 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG1.2 xGArsenal 1.23 xG, West Ham United 1.2 xG
  • Possession68%32%Arsenal 68%, West Ham United 32%
  • Corners2 corners0 cornersArsenal 2 corners, West Ham United 0 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsArsenal 15 fouls, West Ham United 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ethan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Calafiori · Arsenal · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAaron Wan-Bissaka · West Ham United · 75′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zinchenko · Arsenal · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 63′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOleksandr Zinchenko · Arsenal · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Calafiori · Arsenal · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBen White · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 18′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRaheem Sterling · Arsenal · 85′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 63′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 26′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 14′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 44′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arsenal: 20 shots, 2 on target, 1.24 xG. West Ham United: 5 shots, 2 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 44′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 1.24 xG · West Ham United 1.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Arsenal
1Draws
1West Ham United
West Ham United — Arsenal · Premier League2–5
West Ham United — Arsenal · Premier League0–6
Arsenal — West Ham United · Premier League0–2
West Ham United — Arsenal · Premier League2–2
Arsenal — West Ham United · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · West Ham United in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal26 matchesWest Ham United26 matches
1.96 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.15 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.81 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.34 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots26/2613.3 shots/match
4.96 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/264 shots/match
55.6% ●Possession26/2646.5%
6.31 corners/match ●Corners26/264.42 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Feb 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsArsenalWest Ham United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headArsenal — West Ham United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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