PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Nottingham Forest 0–0 Arsenal · Premier League

0–0Historical match

Arsenal

DWWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nottingham Forest and Arsenal drew 0–0.

Shots
613
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.40.99
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nottingham Forest and Arsenal drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Nottingham Forest – Arsenal): shots 6–13, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.4–0.99, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nottingham Forest's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nottingham Forest's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Nottingham Forest.

3.23 days ▲Rest daysNottingham Forest · Arsenal4.19 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNottingham ForestArsenalBaseline
Rest days3.23 days4.19 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Arsenal have a visible away split

moderate

Arsenal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots13 shotsNottingham Forest 6 shots, Arsenal 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotNottingham Forest 2 shots, Arsenal 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.4 xG0.99 xGNottingham Forest 0.4 xG, Arsenal 0.99 xG
  • Possession35%65%Nottingham Forest 35%, Arsenal 65%
  • Corners3 corners11 cornersNottingham Forest 3 corners, Arsenal 11 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls17 foulsNottingham Forest 10 fouls, Arsenal 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ethan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Domínguez · Nottingham Forest · 25′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChris Wood · Nottingham Forest · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCallum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThomas Partey · Arsenal · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRyan Yates · Nottingham Forest · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 51′ · 0.09 xG · on targetNeco Williams · Nottingham Forest · 88′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Calafiori · Arsenal · 24′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedChris Wood · Nottingham Forest · 69′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMikel Merino · Arsenal · 79′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Saliba · Arsenal · 43′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedKieran Tierney · Arsenal · 55′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nottingham Forest: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.38 xG. Arsenal: 13 shots, 1 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nottingham Forest 0.38 xG · Arsenal 0.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nottingham Forest
0Draws
4Arsenal
Arsenal — Nottingham Forest · Premier League3–0
Nottingham Forest — Arsenal · Premier League1–2
Arsenal — Nottingham Forest · Premier League2–1
Nottingham Forest — Arsenal · Premier League1–0
Arsenal — Nottingham Forest · Premier League5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nottingham Forest favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nottingham Forest27 matchesArsenal27 matches
1.63 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.89 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 0.85 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.61 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 13.8 shots/match
4.56 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 4.81 shots/match
39.8%Possession27/27● 55.9%
4.37 corners/matchCorners27/27● 6.48 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 26 Feb 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNottingham ForestArsenal
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headNottingham Forest — Arsenal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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