PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Manchester United 3–2 Ipswich Town · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester United won 3–2.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.721.43
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester United beat Ipswich Town 3–2. Recorded in this match (Manchester United – Ipswich Town): shots 10–12, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.72–1.43, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ipswich Town's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ipswich Town's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ipswich Town have a visible away split

moderate

Ipswich Town's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.23 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.48 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.23 shots/match9.48 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester United · Ipswich Town9.48 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedIpswich TownBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match9.48 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match15 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsManchester United 10 shots, Ipswich Town 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsManchester United 6 shots, Ipswich Town 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.72 xG1.43 xGManchester United 0.72 xG, Ipswich Town 1.43 xG
  • Possession45%55%Manchester United 45%, Ipswich Town 55%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersManchester United 5 corners, Ipswich Town 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls16 foulsManchester United 9 fouls, Ipswich Town 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Manchester United
1Draws
0Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town — Manchester United · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester United favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester United27 matchesIpswich Town27 matches
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.96 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/272.11 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/270.94 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots27/279.48 shots/match
4.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.41 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession27/2740.6%
5.11 corners/match ●Corners27/274 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls27/2712 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 26 Feb 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester UnitedIpswich Town
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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