Premier League · 2024Thu, 27 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Ham UnitedLeicester City
Shots8 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.33 xG/match0.37 xG/match
Possession58%42%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match6 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: West Ham United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

West Ham United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

West Ham United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/matchShotsWest Ham United · Leicester City9.15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Ham UnitedLeicester CityBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match9.15 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1West Ham United
1Draws
3Leicester City
Leicester CityWest Ham United · Premier League31
Leicester CityWest Ham United · Premier League21
West Ham UnitedLeicester City · Premier League02
Leicester CityWest Ham United · Premier League22
West Ham UnitedLeicester City · Premier League41

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Leicester City in 0 · 3 too close

1.19 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 27/270.93 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 27/272.26 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 27/270.91 xG/match
1.64 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 27/271.9 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/279.15 shots/match
16.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 27/2716.2 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 27/273.04 shots/match
5.07 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 27/275.78 shots/match
46.9%Possessionseason · 27/2745.6%
4.37 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/273.59 corners/match
5.37 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 27/276.22 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2710.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/274%
78%Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2763%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United32.5
Leicester City22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United32.5
Leicester City4.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United19.2
Leicester City11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United77.5
Leicester City7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United67.5
Leicester City22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United30
Leicester City5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United43.1
Leicester City8.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United27 matchesLeicester City27 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored27/270.93 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed27/272.26 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals27/270.91 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots27/279.15 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target27/273.04 shots/match
46.9%Possession27/2745.6%
4.37 corners/matchCorners27/273.59 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls27/2710.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United14 matchesLeicester City13 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored14/131.08 goals/match
1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed14/132.62 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals14/130.91 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots14/139.08 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target14/133 shots/match
48.6%Possession14/1342.6%
4.93 corners/matchCorners14/133.54 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1310.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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