Premier League · 2024

Southampton 1–3 Bournemouth · Premier League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bournemouth won 1–3.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
0.791.2
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bournemouth beat Southampton 3–1. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Bournemouth): shots 11–14, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 0.79–1.2, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.76 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bournemouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.68 shots/match ▲ShotsSouthampton · Bournemouth15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSouthamptonBournemouthBaseline
Shots9.68 shots/match15.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against18 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsSouthampton 11 shots, Bournemouth 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsSouthampton 4 shots, Bournemouth 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG1.2 xGSouthampton 0.79 xG, Bournemouth 1.2 xG
  • Possession45%55%Southampton 45%, Bournemouth 55%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersSouthampton 4 corners, Bournemouth 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsSouthampton 13 fouls, Bournemouth 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLewis Cook · Bournemouth · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMiloš Kerkez · Bournemouth · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Southampton · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Southampton · 66′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKamaldeen Sulemana · Southampton · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames Bree · Southampton · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLesley Ugochukwu · Southampton · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Southampton · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 55′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDavid Brooks · Bournemouth · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 16′ · 0.05 xG · goalKamaldeen Sulemana · Southampton · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlex Scott · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Southampton · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKamaldeen Sulemana · Southampton · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 83′ · 0.09 xG · goalDango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 41′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKamaldeen Sulemana · Southampton · 72′ · 0.13 xG · goalAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 54′ · 0.21 xG · on targetCameron Archer · Southampton · 90′ · 0.31 xG · on targetDango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 14′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Southampton: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.76 xG. Bournemouth: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Kamaldeen Sulemana · Southampton · 72′Dango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 14′Ryan Christie · Bournemouth · 16′Marcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 0.76 xG · Bournemouth 1.16 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Southampton
0Draws
2Bournemouth
Bournemouth — Southampton · Premier League3–1
Southampton — Bournemouth · Premier League0–1
Bournemouth — Southampton · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton25 matchesBournemouth25 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.76 goals/match
2.28 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.16 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.9 xG/match
9.68 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 15.9 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 5.76 shots/match
51.6% ●Possession25/2546.5%
4.32 corners/matchCorners25/25● 6.08 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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