PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

Willem II Tilburg 0–3 Excelsior · Eredivisie

0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Excelsior won 0–3.

Shots
1613
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.741.6
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Excelsior beat Willem II Tilburg 3–0. Recorded in this match (Willem II Tilburg – Excelsior): shots 16–13, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.74–1.6, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots13 shotsWillem II Tilburg 16 shots, Excelsior 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsWillem II Tilburg 2 shots, Excelsior 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.74 xG1.6 xGWillem II Tilburg 0.74 xG, Excelsior 1.6 xG
  • Possession59%41%Willem II Tilburg 59%, Excelsior 41%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersWillem II Tilburg 7 corners, Excelsior 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsWillem II Tilburg 10 fouls, Excelsior 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardWillem II Tilburg 2 cards, Excelsior 1 card
  • Passes508 passes367 passesWillem II Tilburg 508 passes, Excelsior 367 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.9%77.4%Willem II Tilburg 82.9%, Excelsior 77.4%
  • Shots inside box11 shots10 shotsWillem II Tilburg 11 shots, Excelsior 10 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks4 blocksWillem II Tilburg 7 blocks, Excelsior 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesWillem II Tilburg 3 saves, Excelsior 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesWillem II Tilburg 1 offside, Excelsior 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 8′David GardenGoal · Excelsior
  2. 34′Rick MeissenGoal · Excelsior
  3. Half-time
  4. 51′Kasper BoogaardYellow card · Willem II Tilburg
  5. 81′Jaden SloryYellow card · Willem II Tilburg
  6. 85′Irakli YegoianGoal · Excelsior
  7. 87′Nesto GroenYellow card · Excelsior
  8. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Willem II Tilburg · 2 player changesTonny Vilhena · Maxim Dekker
  • 63′Willem II Tilburg · 1 player changeThomas Verheydt
  • 64′Excelsior · 1 player changeIlano Silva Timas
  • 65′Excelsior · 1 player changeDaniel van Vianen
  • 71′Excelsior · 1 player changeNesto Groen
  • 82′Willem II Tilburg · 1 player changeChido Obi-Martin
  • 82′Excelsior · 1 player changeGiuliano Cairo

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Willem II Tilburg
  1. Maxime DelangheG
  2. Finn StamD
  3. Hidde ter AvestD
  4. Nathan Tjoe-A-OnD
  5. Mats LemmensD
  6. Calvin TwigtM
  7. Kasper BoogaardM
  8. Uriel van AalstM
  9. Jaden SloryF
  10. Devin HaenF
  11. Eser GürbüzF
Excelsior
  1. Stijn van GasselG
  2. Rick MeissenD
  3. Casper WidellD
  4. Jan PlugD
  5. Simon JanssenD
  6. Eric da Silva MoreiraM
  7. Irakli YegoianM
  8. Lennard HartjesM
  9. Aymen SlitiF
  10. David GardenF
  11. Ágúst Orri ThorsteinssonF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Willem II Tilburg favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Excelsior in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Willem II Tilburg4 matchesExcelsior4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2.5 goals/match
3.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.5 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots4/412.8 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 5.5 shots/match
40.3%Possession4/4● 44.8%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/4● 5.25 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls4/411.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWillem II TilburgExcelsior
CompetitionEredivisie
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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