PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

AZ Alkmaar and Willem II Tilburg drew 1–1.

Shots
228
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
2.480.93
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

AZ Alkmaar and Willem II Tilburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (AZ Alkmaar – Willem II Tilburg): shots 22–8, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 2.48–0.93, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AZ Alkmaar show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AZ Alkmaar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAZ Alkmaar · Willem II Tilburg11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAZ AlkmaarWillem II TilburgBaseline
Shots19.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against9 shots/match17.8 shots/match15.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AZ Alkmaar have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.5% ●PossessionAZ Alkmaar · Willem II Tilburg38.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAZ AlkmaarWillem II TilburgBaseline
Possession58.5%38.8%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots8 shotsAZ Alkmaar 22 shots, Willem II Tilburg 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsAZ Alkmaar 5 shots, Willem II Tilburg 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.48 xG0.93 xGAZ Alkmaar 2.48 xG, Willem II Tilburg 0.93 xG
  • Possession67%33%AZ Alkmaar 67%, Willem II Tilburg 33%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersAZ Alkmaar 11 corners, Willem II Tilburg 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsAZ Alkmaar 7 fouls, Willem II Tilburg 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardAZ Alkmaar 0 cards, Willem II Tilburg 1 card
  • Passes679 passes338 passesAZ Alkmaar 679 passes, Willem II Tilburg 338 passes
  • Pass accuracy89.5%76.6%AZ Alkmaar 89.5%, Willem II Tilburg 76.6%
  • Shots inside box16 shots6 shotsAZ Alkmaar 16 shots, Willem II Tilburg 6 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksAZ Alkmaar 2 blocks, Willem II Tilburg 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesAZ Alkmaar 1 save, Willem II Tilburg 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideAZ Alkmaar 1 offside, Willem II Tilburg 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 29′Tonny VilhenaYellow card · Willem II Tilburg
  2. 32′Jordy ClasieGoal · AZ Alkmaar
  3. Half-time
  4. 81′Devin HaenGoal · Willem II Tilburg
  5. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 64′AZ Alkmaar · 2 player changesWeslley Patati · Valdemar Byskov
  • 70′Willem II Tilburg · 2 player changesKasper Boogaard · Alessandro Ciranni
  • 78′AZ Alkmaar · 1 player changeJizz Hornkamp
  • 88′AZ Alkmaar · 1 player changeBendegúz Kovács
  • 88′Willem II Tilburg · 1 player changeThomas Verheydt
  • 88′AZ Alkmaar · 1 player changeAyoub Oufkir
  • 90′Willem II Tilburg · 1 player changeMats Lemmens

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

AZ Alkmaar
  1. Jari De BusserG
  2. Wouter GoesD
  3. Lewis SchoutenD
  4. Mateo ChávezD
  5. Elijah DijkstraD
  6. Peer KoopmeinersM
  7. Jordy ClasieM
  8. Dave KwakmanM
  9. Mexx MeerdinkF
  10. Ro-Zangelo DaalF
  11. Calvin StengsF
Willem II Tilburg
  1. Maxime DelangheG
  2. Finn StamD
  3. Hidde ter AvestD
  4. Maxim DekkerD
  5. Nathan Tjoe-A-OnD
  6. Calvin TwigtM
  7. Uriel van AalstM
  8. Tonny VilhenaM
  9. Jaden SloryF
  10. Devin HaenF
  11. Per van LoonF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2AZ Alkmaar
1Draws
1Willem II Tilburg
Willem II Tilburg — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie0–2
AZ Alkmaar — Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie1–2
Willem II Tilburg — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie2–2
AZ Alkmaar — Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AZ Alkmaar favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Willem II Tilburg in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AZ Alkmaar6 matchesWillem II Tilburg5 matches
2.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/51 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/52.8 goals/match
2.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/51.28 xG/match
19.8 shots/match ▲Shots6/511.6 shots/match
7.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/52.4 shots/match
58.5% ●Possession6/538.8%
9.17 corners/match ●Corners6/54.2 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/510.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAZ AlkmaarWillem II Tilburg
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headAZ Alkmaar — Willem II Tilburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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