PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Wrexham 1–2 Birmingham City · Championship

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Birmingham City won 1–2.

Shots
910
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.421.85
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Birmingham City beat Wrexham 2–1. Recorded in this match (Wrexham – Birmingham City): shots 9–10, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.42–1.85, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsWrexham 9 shots, Birmingham City 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsWrexham 4 shots, Birmingham City 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.42 xG1.85 xGWrexham 1.42 xG, Birmingham City 1.85 xG
  • Possession61%39%Wrexham 61%, Birmingham City 39%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersWrexham 3 corners, Birmingham City 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsWrexham 9 fouls, Birmingham City 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsWrexham 1 card, Birmingham City 2 cards
  • Passes486 passes311 passesWrexham 486 passes, Birmingham City 311 passes
  • Pass accuracy78.2%66.2%Wrexham 78.2%, Birmingham City 66.2%
  • Shots inside box8 shots8 shotsWrexham 8 shots, Birmingham City 8 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksWrexham 1 block, Birmingham City 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesWrexham 1 save, Birmingham City 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesWrexham 2 offsides, Birmingham City 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 7′Christoph KlarerYellow card · Birmingham City
  2. 13′Phil NeumannGoal · Birmingham City
  3. Half-time
  4. 50′Bright Osayi-SamuelYellow card · Birmingham City
  5. 54′Callum DoyleGoal · Wrexham
  6. 63′Phil NeumannGoal · Birmingham City
  7. 90′Bailey CadamarteriYellow card · Wrexham
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Birmingham City · 1 player changePatrick Roberts
  • 71′Wrexham · 4 player changesRyan Longman · Josh Windass · Sam Smith · Issa Kaboré
  • 74′Birmingham City · 1 player changeSeung Ho Paik
  • 79′Wrexham · 1 player changeBailey Cadamarteri
  • 82′Birmingham City · 1 player changeLuis Vázquez
  • 90′Birmingham City · 2 player changesDael Fry · Ethan Laird

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Wrexham
2Draws
2Birmingham City
Birmingham City — Wrexham · Championship2–0
Wrexham — Birmingham City · Championship1–1
Wrexham — Birmingham City · League One1–1
Birmingham City — Wrexham · League One3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wrexham favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Birmingham City in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wrexham3 matchesBirmingham City3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1 goal/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.49 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots3/39.33 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/32.67 shots/match
51%Possession3/3● 53%
7.33 corners/match ●Corners3/37 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWrexhamBirmingham City
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headWrexham — Birmingham City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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