Birmingham City 1–1 Southampton · Championship
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Birmingham City and Southampton drew 1–1.
- Shots
- 16–13
- Shots on target
- 4–4
- Expected goals
- 1.21–0.95
- Possession
- 37%–63%
Full time
What the match recorded
Birmingham City and Southampton drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Birmingham City – Southampton): shots 16–13, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.21–0.95, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Birmingham City, Southampton.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Birmingham City | Southampton | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 4 days | 3.21 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Both teams have elevated corners records
weakEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Birmingham City | Southampton | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 6 corners/match | 6.25 corners/match | 5.17 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
The teams have contrasting possession records
weakSouthampton have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.8 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Birmingham City | Southampton | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 49% | 59.8% | 50.5% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 45′Bright Osayi-SamuelYellow card · Birmingham City
- 45′Keven SchlotterbeckGoal · Southampton
- Half-time
- 55′August PriskeGoal · Birmingham City
- 72′Divin MubamaYellow card · Southampton
- 77′Jhon SolísYellow card · Birmingham City
- 90′Luis VázquezYellow card · Birmingham City
- 90′Nathan WoodYellow card · Southampton
- Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
- 61′Southampton · 1 player changeKuryu Matsuki
- 62′Southampton · 1 player changeJames Ward-Prowse
- 69′Southampton · 1 player changeDivin Mubama
- 70′Birmingham City · 1 player changeDemarai Gray
- 81′Southampton · 1 player changeLewis Dobbin
- 86′Birmingham City · 2 player changesEthan Laird · Luis Vázquez
- 87′Birmingham City · 1 player changeSeung Ho Paik
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Birmingham City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Southampton in 0 · 13 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Birmingham City / Southampton
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Team rankings in Championship
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