PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Swansea City 2–0 Watford · Championship

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Swansea City won 2–0.

Shots
189
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
2.760.82
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Swansea City beat Watford 2–0. Recorded in this match (Swansea City – Watford): shots 18–9, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.76–0.82, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Swansea City, Watford.

3.3 days ▲Rest daysSwansea City · Watford3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSwansea CityWatfordBaseline
Rest days3.3 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Watford show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Watford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSwansea City · Watford12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSwansea CityWatfordBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against8.75 shots/match15 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Swansea City have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.3% ●PossessionSwansea City · Watford38.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSwansea CityWatfordBaseline
Possession60.3%38.3%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsSwansea City 18 shots, Watford 9 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsSwansea City 8 shots, Watford 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.76 xG0.82 xGSwansea City 2.76 xG, Watford 0.82 xG
  • Possession60%40%Swansea City 60%, Watford 40%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersSwansea City 5 corners, Watford 3 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls14 foulsSwansea City 6 fouls, Watford 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsSwansea City 0 cards, Watford 4 cards
  • Passes578 passes373 passesSwansea City 578 passes, Watford 373 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.9%82%Swansea City 82.9%, Watford 82%
  • Shots inside box10 shots8 shotsSwansea City 10 shots, Watford 8 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks2 blocksSwansea City 6 blocks, Watford 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves6 savesSwansea City 3 saves, Watford 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside4 offsidesSwansea City 1 offside, Watford 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 8′Ji-sung EomGoal · Swansea City
  2. 25′Omar Haktab TraoreYellow card · Watford
  3. 29′Adam IdahGoal · Swansea City
  4. Half-time
  5. 68′Hector KyprianouYellow card · Watford
  6. 80′Kévin Keben BiakoloYellow card · Watford
  7. 90′Jordan ZemuraYellow card · Watford
  8. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 31′Watford · 1 player changeBranimir Mlačić
  • 46′Watford · 1 player changeEdoardo Bove
  • 57′Swansea City · 2 player changesMoussa Kounfolo Yeo · Melker Widell
  • 65′Watford · 1 player changeRocco Vata
  • 67′Swansea City · 1 player changeŽan Vipotnik
  • 68′Swansea City · 1 player changeJay Fulton
  • 83′Watford · 1 player changeLuca Kjerrumgaard
  • 86′Swansea City · 1 player changeJenson Seelt

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Swansea City
2Draws
1Watford
Watford — Swansea City · Championship0–2
Swansea City — Watford · Championship1–1
Watford — Swansea City · Championship1–0
Swansea City — Watford · Championship1–0
Watford — Swansea City · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Swansea City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Watford in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Swansea City4 matchesWatford4 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41 goal/match
0.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.86 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/412.5 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.25 shots/match
60.3% ●Possession4/438.3%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners4/43.25 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSwansea CityWatford
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headSwansea City — Watford
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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