PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Derby County 0–3 Swansea City · Championship

0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Swansea City won 0–3.

Shots
823
Shots on target
012
Expected goals
0.593.19
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Swansea City beat Derby County 3–0. Recorded in this match (Derby County – Swansea City): shots 8–23, shots on target 0–12, expected goals 0.59–3.19, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Derby County show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Derby County's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsDerby County · Swansea City13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDerby CountySwansea CityBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match13 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against17.3 shots/match8.67 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Swansea City have recorded the higher season possession share.

46%PossessionDerby County · Swansea City● 60.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDerby CountySwansea CityBaseline
Possession46%60.3%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots23 shotsDerby County 8 shots, Swansea City 23 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots12 shotsDerby County 0 shots, Swansea City 12 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG3.19 xGDerby County 0.59 xG, Swansea City 3.19 xG
  • Possession47%53%Derby County 47%, Swansea City 53%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersDerby County 5 corners, Swansea City 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls7 foulsDerby County 16 fouls, Swansea City 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsDerby County 3 cards, Swansea City 2 cards
  • Passes406 passes475 passesDerby County 406 passes, Swansea City 475 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.1%83.2%Derby County 76.1%, Swansea City 83.2%
  • Shots inside box5 shots15 shotsDerby County 5 shots, Swansea City 15 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks6 blocksDerby County 6 blocks, Swansea City 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves9 saves0 savesDerby County 9 saves, Swansea City 0 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides4 offsidesDerby County 5 offsides, Swansea City 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 2′Joseph OpokuGoal · Swansea City
  2. 44′Ji-sung EomGoal · Swansea City
  3. Half-time
  4. 69′Sondre LangåsYellow card · Derby County
  5. 73′Marko StamenićYellow card · Swansea City
  6. 79′Dion SandersonYellow card · Derby County
  7. 81′Lewis TravisYellow card · Derby County
  8. 84′Elijah JustYellow card · Swansea City
  9. 90′RonaldGoal · Swansea City
  10. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 24′Swansea City · 1 player changeMoussa Kounfolo Yeo
  • 46′Derby County · 3 player changesJoe Ward · Rhian Brewster · Sammie Szmodics
  • 65′Swansea City · 3 player changesStephen Eustaquio · Elijah Just · Žan Vipotnik
  • 69′Derby County · 1 player changeFilip Bilbija
  • 78′Derby County · 1 player changeOwen Eames
  • 85′Swansea City · 1 player changeRonald

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Derby County
0Draws
3Swansea City
Derby County — Swansea City · Championship2–0
Swansea City — Derby County · Championship1–2
Swansea City — Derby County · Championship1–0
Derby County — Swansea City · Championship1–2
Swansea City — Derby County · Championship2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Derby County favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Swansea City in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Derby County3 matchesSwansea City3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.33 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.48 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots3/313 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 5.33 shots/match
46%Possession3/3● 60.3%
5.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 5.67 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDerby CountySwansea City
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headDerby County — Swansea City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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