PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Middlesbrough 3–1 West Bromwich Albion · Championship

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Middlesbrough won 3–1.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.461.4
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Middlesbrough beat West Bromwich Albion 3–1. Recorded in this match (Middlesbrough – West Bromwich Albion): shots 15–12, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.46–1.4, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Middlesbrough show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Middlesbrough's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.7 shots/match ▲ShotsMiddlesbrough · West Bromwich Albion10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMiddlesbroughWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Shots19.7 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against9.33 shots/match15.3 shots/match10.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Middlesbrough have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.7% ●PossessionMiddlesbrough · West Bromwich Albion50%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMiddlesbroughWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Possession64.7%50%52%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsMiddlesbrough 15 shots, West Bromwich Albion 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsMiddlesbrough 6 shots, West Bromwich Albion 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.46 xG1.4 xGMiddlesbrough 2.46 xG, West Bromwich Albion 1.4 xG
  • Possession47%53%Middlesbrough 47%, West Bromwich Albion 53%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersMiddlesbrough 7 corners, West Bromwich Albion 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls6 foulsMiddlesbrough 15 fouls, West Bromwich Albion 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardMiddlesbrough 0 cards, West Bromwich Albion 1 card
  • Passes516 passes584 passesMiddlesbrough 516 passes, West Bromwich Albion 584 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.2%89.4%Middlesbrough 88.2%, West Bromwich Albion 89.4%
  • Shots inside box14 shots10 shotsMiddlesbrough 14 shots, West Bromwich Albion 10 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks6 blocksMiddlesbrough 4 blocks, West Bromwich Albion 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesMiddlesbrough 2 saves, West Bromwich Albion 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesMiddlesbrough 3 offsides, West Bromwich Albion 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. Half-time
  2. 48′Will LankshearGoal · Middlesbrough
  3. 61′Ousmane DiakitéYellow card · West Bromwich Albion
  4. 65′Jimmy MorganGoal · West Bromwich Albion
  5. 73′Will LankshearGoal · Middlesbrough
  6. 87′Alfie JonesGoal · Middlesbrough
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 40′Middlesbrough · 1 player changeMaximilian Arfsten
  • 46′Middlesbrough · 1 player changeSebastian Berhalter
  • 69′Middlesbrough · 2 player changesKyle Joseph · Alfie Jones
  • 70′West Bromwich Albion · 1 player changeRabby Nzingoula
  • 77′West Bromwich Albion · 2 player changesKareem Tunde · Aune Selland Heggebø
  • 86′West Bromwich Albion · 1 player changeBarney Stewart
  • 86′Middlesbrough · 1 player changeTommy Conway

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Middlesbrough
0Draws
0West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion — Middlesbrough · Championship2–3
Middlesbrough — West Bromwich Albion · Championship2–1
Middlesbrough — West Bromwich Albion · Championship2–0
West Bromwich Albion — Middlesbrough · Championship0–1
Middlesbrough — West Bromwich Albion · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Middlesbrough favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Middlesbrough3 matchesWest Bromwich Albion3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored3/32 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.5 xG/match
19.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/310.3 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/35 shots/match
64.7% ●Possession3/350%
7.33 corners/match ●Corners3/33.67 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/39 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMiddlesbroughWest Bromwich Albion
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headMiddlesbrough — West Bromwich Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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