PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Wolverhampton 4–1 Stoke City · Championship

4–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Wolverhampton won 4–1.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
2.640.88
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wolverhampton beat Stoke City 4–1. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Stoke City): shots 18–10, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.64–0.88, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsWolverhampton · Stoke City10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonStoke CityBaseline
Shots17 shots/match10 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match14.3 shots/match10.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Wolverhampton have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.3% ●PossessionWolverhampton · Stoke City43.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonStoke CityBaseline
Possession54.3%43.3%52%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsWolverhampton 18 shots, Stoke City 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsWolverhampton 8 shots, Stoke City 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.64 xG0.88 xGWolverhampton 2.64 xG, Stoke City 0.88 xG
  • Possession53%47%Wolverhampton 53%, Stoke City 47%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerWolverhampton 7 corners, Stoke City 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsWolverhampton 13 fouls, Stoke City 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsWolverhampton 1 card, Stoke City 4 cards
  • Passes408 passes362 passesWolverhampton 408 passes, Stoke City 362 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.6%85.6%Wolverhampton 84.6%, Stoke City 85.6%
  • Shots inside box13 shots6 shotsWolverhampton 13 shots, Stoke City 6 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks2 blocksWolverhampton 7 blocks, Stoke City 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesWolverhampton 2 saves, Stoke City 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesWolverhampton 2 offsides, Stoke City 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 2′Sam GallagherGoal · Stoke City
  2. 15′Jun-Ho BaeYellow card · Stoke City
  3. 19′Rodrigo GomesGoal · Wolverhampton
  4. 23′Rodrigo GomesGoal · Wolverhampton
  5. 31′Bosun LawalYellow card · Stoke City
  6. 39′Mateus ManéYellow card · Wolverhampton
  7. 45′Sam GallagherYellow card · Stoke City
  8. Half-time
  9. 55′Raúl JiménezPenalty goal · Wolverhampton
  10. 84′Jordan JamesGoal · Wolverhampton
  11. 90′Sorba ThomasYellow card · Stoke City
  12. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 62′Stoke City · 1 player changeMillion Manhoef
  • 73′Wolverhampton · 2 player changesBoubacar Traoré · Adam Armstrong
  • 74′Stoke City · 1 player changeRóbert Boženík
  • 77′Wolverhampton · 2 player changesTommy Doyle · Jordan James
  • 83′Wolverhampton · 1 player changeTawanda Chirewa
  • 85′Stoke City · 2 player changesTomáš Rigo · Tyler Martin

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Stoke City in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton3 matchesStoke City3 matches
3 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31 goal/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/33 goals/match
2.05 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.75 xG/match
17 shots/match ▲Shots3/310 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/32.33 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession3/343.3%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners3/32.33 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls3/316.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWolverhamptonStoke City
CompetitionChampionship
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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