PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Stoke City 1–0 Norwich City · Championship

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Stoke City won 1–0.

Shots
615
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.241.3
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stoke City beat Norwich City 1–0. Recorded in this match (Stoke City – Norwich City): shots 6–15, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.24–1.3, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Stoke City, Norwich City.

3.31 days ▲Rest daysStoke City · Norwich City3.21 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricStoke CityNorwich CityBaseline
Rest days3.31 days3.21 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Stoke City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stoke City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsStoke City · Norwich City15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStoke CityNorwich CityBaseline
Shots9 shots/match15.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Norwich City have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.8%PossessionStoke City · Norwich City● 52.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStoke CityNorwich CityBaseline
Possession39.8%52.5%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsStoke City 6 shots, Norwich City 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsStoke City 3 shots, Norwich City 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.24 xG1.3 xGStoke City 0.24 xG, Norwich City 1.3 xG
  • Possession29%71%Stoke City 29%, Norwich City 71%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersStoke City 3 corners, Norwich City 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsStoke City 16 fouls, Norwich City 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsStoke City 2 cards, Norwich City 2 cards
  • Passes205 passes537 passesStoke City 205 passes, Norwich City 537 passes
  • Pass accuracy62.9%85.1%Stoke City 62.9%, Norwich City 85.1%
  • Shots inside box4 shots6 shotsStoke City 4 shots, Norwich City 6 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block5 blocksStoke City 1 block, Norwich City 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves2 savesStoke City 5 saves, Norwich City 2 saves
  • Offsides7 offsides4 offsidesStoke City 7 offsides, Norwich City 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 13′Ethan GalbraithGoal · Stoke City
  2. Half-time
  3. 47′Bosun LawalYellow card · Stoke City
  4. 49′Ethan GalbraithYellow card · Stoke City
  5. 61′José CórdobaYellow card · Norwich City
  6. 66′Kenny McLeanYellow card · Norwich City
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Stoke City · 1 player changeSam Gallagher
  • 46′Norwich City · 1 player changeAnthony Musaba
  • 46′Stoke City · 1 player changeLuca Bombino
  • 56′Norwich City · 1 player changeBen Chrisene
  • 59′Stoke City · 1 player changeRóbert Boženík
  • 71′Norwich City · 2 player changesPapa Amadou Diallo · Mathias Kvistgaarden
  • 85′Norwich City · 1 player changeJacob Wright
  • 87′Stoke City · 1 player changeBen Pearson

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stoke City
2Draws
2Norwich City
Norwich City — Stoke City · Championship0–2
Stoke City — Norwich City · Championship1–1
Norwich City — Stoke City · Championship4–2
Stoke City — Norwich City · Championship1–1
Stoke City — Norwich City · Championship0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stoke City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Norwich City in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stoke City4 matchesNorwich City4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.75 goals/match
0.62 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.77 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 15.8 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 5.25 shots/match
39.8%Possession4/4● 52.5%
2.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 4.75 corners/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStoke CityNorwich City
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headStoke City — Norwich City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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