PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Portsmouth 0–2 Derby County · Championship

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Derby County won 0–2.

Shots
218
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.830.55
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Derby County beat Portsmouth 2–0. Recorded in this match (Portsmouth – Derby County): shots 21–8, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.83–0.55, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Portsmouth, Derby County.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysPortsmouth · Derby County3.3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPortsmouthDerby CountyBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Portsmouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Portsmouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsPortsmouth · Derby County11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPortsmouthDerby CountyBaseline
Shots16 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match18.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Portsmouth have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.5% ●PossessionPortsmouth · Derby County43.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPortsmouthDerby CountyBaseline
Possession58.5%43.3%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots8 shotsPortsmouth 21 shots, Derby County 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsPortsmouth 3 shots, Derby County 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG0.55 xGPortsmouth 0.83 xG, Derby County 0.55 xG
  • Possession65%35%Portsmouth 65%, Derby County 35%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersPortsmouth 11 corners, Derby County 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsPortsmouth 12 fouls, Derby County 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsPortsmouth 1 card, Derby County 2 cards
  • Passes499 passes268 passesPortsmouth 499 passes, Derby County 268 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.4%69.4%Portsmouth 84.4%, Derby County 69.4%
  • Shots inside box10 shots7 shotsPortsmouth 10 shots, Derby County 7 shots
  • Blocked shots9 blocks1 blockPortsmouth 9 blocks, Derby County 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesPortsmouth 3 saves, Derby County 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesPortsmouth 0 offsides, Derby County 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 16′Sammie SzmodicsGoal · Derby County
  2. Half-time
  3. 51′Sondre LangåsYellow card · Derby County
  4. 62′Lars-Jørgen SalvesenGoal · Derby County
  5. 69′Terry DevlinYellow card · Portsmouth
  6. 83′Charlie TaylorYellow card · Derby County
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 60′Derby County · 1 player changeLars-Jørgen Salvesen
  • 65′Portsmouth · 1 player changeLuke Brooke-Smith
  • 66′Portsmouth · 1 player changeColby Bishop
  • 72′Portsmouth · 2 player changesRocco Robert Shein · Iyad Mohamed
  • 80′Derby County · 1 player changeRyan Nyambe
  • 81′Derby County · 1 player changeJoe Ward
  • 85′Portsmouth · 1 player changeOdin Bailey
  • 86′Derby County · 2 player changesFilip Bilbija · Max Johnston

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Portsmouth
3Draws
2Derby County
Portsmouth — Derby County · Championship0–1
Derby County — Portsmouth · Championship1–1
Portsmouth — Derby County · Championship2–2
Derby County — Portsmouth · Championship4–0
Portsmouth — Derby County · League One2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Portsmouth favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Derby County in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Portsmouth4 matchesDerby County4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.25 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.94 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.5 shots/match
4.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44 shots/match
58.5% ●Possession4/443.3%
7.5 corners/match ●Corners4/44.5 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/414.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPortsmouthDerby County
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headPortsmouth — Derby County
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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