PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth · Championship

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Bristol City won 2–1.

Shots
914
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.611.37
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bristol City beat Portsmouth 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bristol City – Portsmouth): shots 9–14, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.61–1.37, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Portsmouth have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.3%PossessionBristol City · Portsmouth● 56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBristol CityPortsmouthBaseline
Possession38.3%56.3%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Bristol City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bristol City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsBristol City · Portsmouth14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBristol CityPortsmouthBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots14 shotsBristol City 9 shots, Portsmouth 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotBristol City 3 shots, Portsmouth 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.61 xG1.37 xGBristol City 0.61 xG, Portsmouth 1.37 xG
  • Possession46%54%Bristol City 46%, Portsmouth 54%
  • Corners3 corners10 cornersBristol City 3 corners, Portsmouth 10 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls6 foulsBristol City 15 fouls, Portsmouth 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsBristol City 3 cards, Portsmouth 0 cards
  • Passes321 passes371 passesBristol City 321 passes, Portsmouth 371 passes
  • Pass accuracy73.8%76%Bristol City 73.8%, Portsmouth 76%
  • Shots inside box6 shots8 shotsBristol City 6 shots, Portsmouth 8 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks4 blocksBristol City 3 blocks, Portsmouth 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save1 saveBristol City 1 save, Portsmouth 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesBristol City 1 offside, Portsmouth 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 31′Lorent TolajGoal · Bristol City
  2. Half-time
  3. 49′Rio CardinesYellow card · Bristol City
  4. 56′Jason KnightGoal · Bristol City
  5. 67′Jason KnightYellow card · Bristol City
  6. 77′Rob DickieYellow card · Bristol City
  7. 90′Marko MilovanovićPenalty goal · Portsmouth
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Portsmouth · 1 player changeEbou Adams
  • 63′Portsmouth · 2 player changesHarvey Blair · Marko Milovanović
  • 68′Bristol City · 2 player changesTomi Horvat · Sam Greenwood
  • 69′Portsmouth · 1 player changeMadiodio Dia
  • 74′Portsmouth · 1 player changeJohn Swift
  • 74′Bristol City · 2 player changesDominic Ballard · Cameron Pring
  • 85′Bristol City · 1 player changeNoah Eile

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Bristol City
0Draws
1Portsmouth
Bristol City — Portsmouth · Championship5–0
Portsmouth — Bristol City · Championship0–1
Bristol City — Portsmouth · Championship3–0
Portsmouth — Bristol City · Championship3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bristol City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Portsmouth in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bristol City3 matchesPortsmouth3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.51 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 14.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 4.67 shots/match
38.3%Possession3/3● 56.3%
4 corners/matchCorners3/3● 6.33 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBristol CityPortsmouth
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headBristol City — Portsmouth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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