PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Preston North End 1–3 Bristol City · Championship

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Bristol City won 1–3.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.771.87
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bristol City beat Preston North End 3–1. Recorded in this match (Preston North End – Bristol City): shots 18–12, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.77–1.87, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Preston North End, Bristol City.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysPreston North End · Bristol City3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPreston North EndBristol CityBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsPreston North End · Bristol City12.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricPreston North EndBristol CityBaseline
Fouls13.5 fouls/match12.3 fouls/match11.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsPreston North End 18 shots, Bristol City 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsPreston North End 4 shots, Bristol City 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.77 xG1.87 xGPreston North End 1.77 xG, Bristol City 1.87 xG
  • Possession52%48%Preston North End 52%, Bristol City 48%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersPreston North End 5 corners, Bristol City 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsPreston North End 11 fouls, Bristol City 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsPreston North End 2 cards, Bristol City 0 cards
  • Passes404 passes390 passesPreston North End 404 passes, Bristol City 390 passes
  • Pass accuracy77.7%78.7%Preston North End 77.7%, Bristol City 78.7%
  • Shots inside box9 shots9 shotsPreston North End 9 shots, Bristol City 9 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockPreston North End 5 blocks, Bristol City 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesPreston North End 4 saves, Bristol City 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesPreston North End 2 offsides, Bristol City 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 4′Scott TwineGoal · Bristol City
  2. 9′Jordan ThompsonYellow card · Preston North End
  3. Half-time
  4. 51′Caleb WileyGoal · Preston North End
  5. 79′Lisav Naif EissatGoal · Bristol City
  6. 83′Liam LindsayYellow card · Preston North End
  7. 86′Dominic BallardGoal · Bristol City
  8. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 59′Bristol City · 3 player changesCameron Pring · Gibson Yah · Jed Wallace
  • 66′Preston North End · 1 player changeAndrija Vukčević
  • 67′Preston North End · 1 player changeCallum Lang
  • 69′Bristol City · 1 player changeDominic Ballard
  • 82′Preston North End · 1 player changeAndrew Moran
  • 84′Bristol City · 1 player changeJoe Williams
  • 90′Preston North End · 1 player changeThierry Small

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Preston North End
2Draws
1Bristol City
Bristol City — Preston North End · Championship0–2
Preston North End — Bristol City · Championship0–0
Bristol City — Preston North End · Championship2–2
Preston North End — Bristol City · Championship1–3
Preston North End — Bristol City · Championship2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Preston North End favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Bristol City in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Preston North End4 matchesBristol City4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.75 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.1 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/410.8 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4 shots/match
46.3% ●Possession4/440.8%
4 corners/match ●Corners4/43.5 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPreston North EndBristol City
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headPreston North End — Bristol City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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