PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Watford 1–1 West Ham United · Championship

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Watford and West Ham United drew 1–1.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.290.65
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Watford and West Ham United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Watford – West Ham United): shots 15–13, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.29–0.65, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

West Ham United have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.7%PossessionWatford · West Ham United● 64.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 27.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWatfordWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Possession37.7%64.7%51.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsWatford 15 shots, West Ham United 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotWatford 4 shots, West Ham United 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.29 xG0.65 xGWatford 1.29 xG, West Ham United 0.65 xG
  • Possession38%62%Watford 38%, West Ham United 62%
  • Corners3 corners11 cornersWatford 3 corners, West Ham United 11 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsWatford 9 fouls, West Ham United 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardWatford 3 cards, West Ham United 1 card
  • Passes302 passes498 passesWatford 302 passes, West Ham United 498 passes
  • Pass accuracy77.8%84.3%Watford 77.8%, West Ham United 84.3%
  • Shots inside box13 shots6 shotsWatford 13 shots, West Ham United 6 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks7 blocksWatford 7 blocks, West Ham United 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesWatford 1 save, West Ham United 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesWatford 2 offsides, West Ham United 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 7′Edoardo BoveYellow card · Watford
  2. 19′Amin NabizadaGoal · Watford
  3. 24′Othmane MaammaYellow card · Watford
  4. 27′Matthew PollockGoal · Watford
  5. 31′Joël VeltmanYellow card · West Ham United
  6. Half-time
  7. 49′Kévin Keben BiakoloYellow card · Watford
  8. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 60′Watford · 2 player changesMartín Payero · Mamadou Doumbia
  • 65′West Ham United · 2 player changesLewis Orford · Joël Piroe
  • 73′Watford · 1 player changeRocco Vata
  • 85′Watford · 1 player changeEdo Kayembe
  • 86′West Ham United · 1 player changeOliver Scarles

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Watford
0Draws
2West Ham United
West Ham United — Watford · Premier League1–0
Watford — West Ham United · Premier League1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Watford favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Watford3 matchesWest Ham United3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.65 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 16.3 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
37.7%Possession3/3● 64.7%
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 8 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/38.33 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWatfordWest Ham United
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headWatford — West Ham United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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