PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Millwall 0–3 Wrexham · Championship

0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Wrexham won 0–3.

Shots
49
Shots on target
03
Expected goals
0.240.91
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wrexham beat Millwall 3–0. Recorded in this match (Millwall – Wrexham): shots 4–9, shots on target 0–3, expected goals 0.24–0.91, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.5 corners/match ●CornersMillwall · Wrexham6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMillwallWrexhamBaseline
Corners6.5 corners/match6 corners/match5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Wrexham show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Wrexham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsMillwall · Wrexham12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMillwallWrexhamBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match12 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match8.75 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots9 shotsMillwall 4 shots, Wrexham 9 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots3 shotsMillwall 0 shots, Wrexham 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.24 xG0.91 xGMillwall 0.24 xG, Wrexham 0.91 xG
  • Possession39%61%Millwall 39%, Wrexham 61%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersMillwall 1 corner, Wrexham 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsMillwall 11 fouls, Wrexham 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardMillwall 2 cards, Wrexham 1 card
  • Passes350 passes564 passesMillwall 350 passes, Wrexham 564 passes
  • Pass accuracy74.9%84%Millwall 74.9%, Wrexham 84%
  • Shots inside box1 shot8 shotsMillwall 1 shot, Wrexham 8 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksMillwall 1 block, Wrexham 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save0 savesMillwall 1 save, Wrexham 0 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideMillwall 0 offsides, Wrexham 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 18′Casper De NorreYellow card · Millwall
  2. 28′Zak SturgeGoal · Millwall
  3. 36′Ben WhitemanYellow card · Wrexham
  4. Half-time
  5. 52′Kieffer MooreGoal · Wrexham
  6. 56′Lyndon DykesYellow card · Millwall
  7. 69′Jacques EkomiéGoal · Wrexham
  8. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 43′Millwall · 1 player changeCamiel Neghli
  • 63′Millwall · 1 player changeZak Lovelace
  • 64′Millwall · 1 player changeDerek Mazou-Sacko
  • 67′Wrexham · 2 player changesOliver Rathbone · Daniel Imray
  • 73′Wrexham · 1 player changeSam Smith
  • 74′Millwall · 2 player changesAlfie Massey · Jordi Osei-Tutu
  • 76′Wrexham · 1 player changeRyan Longman

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Millwall4-2-3-1
  1. Max CrocombeG
  2. Zak SturgeD
  3. Jake CooperD
  4. Caleb TaylorD
  5. Mark SykesD
  6. Camiel NeghliM
  7. Jenson MetcalfeM
  8. Casper De NorreM
  9. Tairyk ArconteF
  10. Josh CoburnF
  11. Kyrell LisbieF
Wrexham3-4-2-1
  1. Anthony PattersonG
  2. Callum DoyleD
  3. Jacques EkomiéD
  4. Dominic HyamD
  5. Zak VynerD
  6. Daniel ImrayD
  7. Ben WhitemanM
  8. Lewis O'BrienM
  9. Josh WindassF
  10. Kieffer MooreF
  11. Oliver RathboneF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Millwall
0Draws
1Wrexham
Wrexham — Millwall · Championship0–2
Millwall — Wrexham · Championship0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Millwall favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Wrexham in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Millwall4 matchesWrexham4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1 goal/match
1.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.37 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/412 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4.25 shots/match
51.3%Possession4/4● 53.5%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners4/46 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/412.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 2 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMillwallWrexham
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headMillwall — Wrexham
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required