PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Cardiff City · Championship

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Queens Park Rangers won 2–1.

Shots
209
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
2.090.6
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Queens Park Rangers beat Cardiff City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Queens Park Rangers – Cardiff City): shots 20–9, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.09–0.6, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Cardiff City have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.8%PossessionQueens Park Rangers · Cardiff City● 65.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricQueens Park RangersCardiff CityBaseline
Possession45.8%65.3%50.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Queens Park Rangers show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Queens Park Rangers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.3 shots/match ▲ShotsQueens Park Rangers · Cardiff City16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricQueens Park RangersCardiff CityBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match16 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against9.75 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots9 shotsQueens Park Rangers 20 shots, Cardiff City 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsQueens Park Rangers 4 shots, Cardiff City 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.09 xG0.6 xGQueens Park Rangers 2.09 xG, Cardiff City 0.6 xG
  • Possession37%63%Queens Park Rangers 37%, Cardiff City 63%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersQueens Park Rangers 3 corners, Cardiff City 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsQueens Park Rangers 10 fouls, Cardiff City 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsQueens Park Rangers 0 cards, Cardiff City 2 cards
  • Passes342 passes583 passesQueens Park Rangers 342 passes, Cardiff City 583 passes
  • Pass accuracy79%88.3%Queens Park Rangers 79%, Cardiff City 88.3%
  • Shots inside box17 shots5 shotsQueens Park Rangers 17 shots, Cardiff City 5 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks2 blocksQueens Park Rangers 7 blocks, Cardiff City 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesQueens Park Rangers 2 saves, Cardiff City 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesQueens Park Rangers 2 offsides, Cardiff City 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 36′Rumarn BurrellGoal · Queens Park Rangers
  2. Half-time
  3. 47′Ollie TannerYellow card · Cardiff City
  4. 53′Rumarn BurrellGoal · Queens Park Rangers
  5. 75′Perry NgGoal · Cardiff City
  6. 77′Perry NgYellow card · Cardiff City
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Cardiff City · 2 player changesChris Willock · Krystian Bielik
  • 71′Queens Park Rangers · 1 player changeJonathan Varane
  • 72′Queens Park Rangers · 3 player changesDennis Cirkin · Kealey Adamson · Jake Clarke-Salter
  • 80′Cardiff City · 1 player changeJoel Colwill
  • 81′Queens Park Rangers · 1 player changeIlias Chair
  • 89′Cardiff City · 2 player changesIsaak Davies · Callum Robinson

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Queens Park Rangers4-4-2
  1. Pierce CharlesG
  2. Jimmy DunneD
  3. Jake Clarke-SalterD
  4. Dennis CirkinD
  5. Tariq LampteyD
  6. Ronnie EdwardsM
  7. Ilias ChairM
  8. Paul SmythM
  9. Glen KamaraM
  10. Rumarn BurrellF
  11. Richard KoneF
Cardiff City4-2-3-1
  1. Nathan TrottG
  2. Joel BaganD
  3. Gabriel OshoD
  4. Calum ScanlonD
  5. Perry NgD
  6. Rubin ColwillM
  7. Alex RobertsonM
  8. Cian AshfordM
  9. Jack MoylanF
  10. Yousef SalechF
  11. Ollie TannerF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Queens Park Rangers
2Draws
1Cardiff City
Queens Park Rangers — Cardiff City · Championship0–0
Cardiff City — Queens Park Rangers · Championship0–2
Queens Park Rangers — Cardiff City · Championship1–2
Cardiff City — Queens Park Rangers · Championship1–2
Cardiff City — Queens Park Rangers · Championship0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Queens Park Rangers favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Cardiff City in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Queens Park Rangers4 matchesCardiff City4 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.5 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
1.85 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.36 xG/match
17.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/416 shots/match
6.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/45.75 shots/match
45.8%Possession4/4● 65.3%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 8 corners/match
8.75 fouls/matchFouls4/410.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 2 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsQueens Park RangersCardiff City
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headQueens Park Rangers — Cardiff City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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