PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich City · Championship

4–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Middlesbrough won 4–3.

Shots
1713
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.071.62
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Middlesbrough beat Norwich City 4–3. Recorded in this match (Middlesbrough – Norwich City): shots 17–13, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.07–1.62, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Norwich City.

7 days ▲Rest daysMiddlesbrough · Norwich City2.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMiddlesbroughNorwich CityBaseline
Rest days7 days2.8 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches4 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Norwich City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Norwich City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.86 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Middlesbrough show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Middlesbrough's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsMiddlesbrough · Norwich City15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMiddlesbroughNorwich CityBaseline
Shots17 shots/match15.6 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots13 shotsMiddlesbrough 17 shots, Norwich City 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsMiddlesbrough 6 shots, Norwich City 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.07 xG1.62 xGMiddlesbrough 2.07 xG, Norwich City 1.62 xG
  • Possession50%50%Middlesbrough 50%, Norwich City 50%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersMiddlesbrough 3 corners, Norwich City 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsMiddlesbrough 13 fouls, Norwich City 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardMiddlesbrough 2 cards, Norwich City 1 card
  • Passes436 passes423 passesMiddlesbrough 436 passes, Norwich City 423 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.2%78%Middlesbrough 81.2%, Norwich City 78%
  • Shots inside box12 shots9 shotsMiddlesbrough 12 shots, Norwich City 9 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksMiddlesbrough 3 blocks, Norwich City 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesMiddlesbrough 2 saves, Norwich City 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideMiddlesbrough 3 offsides, Norwich City 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 1′Mohamed TouréGoal · Norwich City
  2. 4′Sebastian BerhalterGoal · Middlesbrough
  3. 7′Amario Cozier-DuberryGoal · Middlesbrough
  4. 36′Sebastian BerhalterGoal · Middlesbrough
  5. Half-time
  6. 53′Riley McGreeYellow card · Middlesbrough
  7. 70′Jovon MakamaGoal · Norwich City
  8. 75′Jacob WrightGoal · Norwich City
  9. 89′Ashley PhillipsYellow card · Middlesbrough
  10. 90′Jack StaceyYellow card · Norwich City
  11. 90′Ashley PhillipsGoal · Middlesbrough
  12. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Middlesbrough · 1 player changeAshley Phillips
  • 46′Norwich City · 1 player changeJacob Wright
  • 62′Norwich City · 2 player changesJack Stacey · Jovon Makama
  • 63′Middlesbrough · 2 player changesMyles Peart-Harris · Kyle Joseph
  • 73′Middlesbrough · 1 player changeMaximilian Arfsten
  • 74′Norwich City · 1 player changeParis Maghoma
  • 90′Norwich City · 1 player changeOscar Schwartau
  • 90′Middlesbrough · 1 player changeLuke Ayling

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Middlesbrough3-4-2-1
  1. Radek VitekG
  2. Callum BrittainD
  3. Ashley PhillipsD
  4. Maximilian ArfstenD
  5. Adilson MalandaD
  6. Neto BorgesD
  7. Sebastian BerhalterM
  8. Aidan MorrisM
  9. Will LankshearF
  10. Riley McGreeF
  11. Kyle JosephF
Norwich City4-2-3-1
  1. Vladan KovačevićG
  2. Ben ChriseneD
  3. Ruairi McConvilleD
  4. José CórdobaD
  5. Kellen FisherD
  6. Pelle MattssonM
  7. Anis Ben SlimaneM
  8. Kenny McLeanM
  9. Andre BrooksF
  10. Mohamed TouréF
  11. Anthony MusabaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Middlesbrough
2Draws
0Norwich City
Middlesbrough — Norwich City · Championship1–0
Norwich City — Middlesbrough · Championship1–2
Middlesbrough — Norwich City · Championship0–0
Norwich City — Middlesbrough · Championship3–3
Middlesbrough — Norwich City · Championship3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Middlesbrough favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Norwich City in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Middlesbrough6 matchesNorwich City7 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/71.86 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/71.86 goals/match
1.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/71.57 xG/match
17 shots/match ▲Shots6/715.6 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲ 5.71 shots/match
58.3% ●Possession6/752.1%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/7● 4.86 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls6/711.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMiddlesbroughNorwich City
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headMiddlesbrough — Norwich City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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