PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Norwich City 2–1 Birmingham City · Championship

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Norwich City won 2–1.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.821.79
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Norwich City beat Birmingham City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Norwich City – Birmingham City): shots 15–14, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.82–1.79, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Norwich City, Birmingham City.

4.2 days ▲Rest daysNorwich City · Birmingham City3.32 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNorwich CityBirmingham CityBaseline
Rest days4.2 days3.32 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Birmingham City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Birmingham City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsNorwich City 15 shots, Birmingham City 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsNorwich City 6 shots, Birmingham City 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG1.79 xGNorwich City 0.82 xG, Birmingham City 1.79 xG
  • Possession51%49%Norwich City 51%, Birmingham City 49%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersNorwich City 6 corners, Birmingham City 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsNorwich City 12 fouls, Birmingham City 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards6 cards2 cardsNorwich City 6 cards, Birmingham City 2 cards
  • Passes347 passes327 passesNorwich City 347 passes, Birmingham City 327 passes
  • Pass accuracy70.9%66.7%Norwich City 70.9%, Birmingham City 66.7%
  • Shots inside box8 shots11 shotsNorwich City 8 shots, Birmingham City 11 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks4 blocksNorwich City 5 blocks, Birmingham City 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesNorwich City 2 saves, Birmingham City 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides4 offsidesNorwich City 3 offsides, Birmingham City 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 13′Ben ChriseneYellow card · Norwich City
  2. 25′José CórdobaYellow card · Norwich City
  3. 28′Oscar SchwartauGoal · Norwich City
  4. 39′Papa Amadou DialloGoal · Norwich City
  5. Half-time
  6. 59′Jack StaceyYellow card · Norwich City
  7. 60′Carlos VicenteYellow card · Birmingham City
  8. 60′Oscar SchwartauYellow card · Norwich City
  9. 64′Carlos VicenteGoal · Birmingham City
  10. 83′Jovon MakamaYellow card · Norwich City
  11. 83′Phil NeumannYellow card · Birmingham City
  12. 90′Ante CrnacYellow card · Norwich City
  13. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Norwich City · 1 player changeAnthony Musaba
  • 62′Birmingham City · 2 player changesEthan Laird · Alex Cochrane
  • 65′Norwich City · 1 player changeAnte Crnac
  • 71′Norwich City · 2 player changesJacob Wright · Jovon Makama
  • 82′Birmingham City · 2 player changesLuis Vázquez · Marvin Ducksch
  • 90′Norwich City · 1 player changeHarry Darling

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Norwich City4-2-3-1
  1. Vladan KovačevićG
  2. Ben ChriseneD
  3. Ruairi McConvilleD
  4. José CórdobaD
  5. Kellen FisherD
  6. Pelle MattssonM
  7. Anis Ben SlimaneM
  8. Kenny McLeanM
  9. Andre BrooksF
  10. Mohamed TouréF
  11. Anthony MusabaF
Birmingham City4-2-3-1
  1. James BeadleG
  2. Christoph KlarerD
  3. Phil NeumannD
  4. Alex CochraneD
  5. Bright Osayi-SamuelD
  6. Seung Ho PaikM
  7. Tomoki IwataM
  8. Jay StansfieldM
  9. August PriskeF
  10. Patrick RobertsF
  11. Liam MillarF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Norwich City
0Draws
3Birmingham City
Norwich City — Birmingham City · Championship1–2
Birmingham City — Norwich City · Championship4–1
Birmingham City — Norwich City · Championship1–0
Norwich City — Birmingham City · Championship2–0
Norwich City — Birmingham City · Championship3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Norwich City favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Birmingham City in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Norwich City6 matchesBirmingham City6 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.51 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots6/612.3 shots/match
5.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.67 shots/match
52.5% ●Possession6/649.7%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6.5 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNorwich CityBirmingham City
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headNorwich City — Birmingham City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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