PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Derby County 0–1 West Bromwich Albion · Championship

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

West Bromwich Albion won 0–1.

Shots
134
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.20.38
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

West Bromwich Albion beat Derby County 1–0. Recorded in this match (Derby County – West Bromwich Albion): shots 13–4, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.2–0.38, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Derby County, West Bromwich Albion.

4.2 days ▲Rest daysDerby County · West Bromwich Albion4.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDerby CountyWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Rest days4.2 days4.2 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

West Bromwich Albion have a visible away split

weak

West Bromwich Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match9.83 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Derby County show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Derby County's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsDerby County · West Bromwich Albion9.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDerby CountyWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match9.83 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against16.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots4 shotsDerby County 13 shots, West Bromwich Albion 4 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotDerby County 3 shots, West Bromwich Albion 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.2 xG0.38 xGDerby County 1.2 xG, West Bromwich Albion 0.38 xG
  • Possession67%33%Derby County 67%, West Bromwich Albion 33%
  • Corners11 corners3 cornersDerby County 11 corners, West Bromwich Albion 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsDerby County 12 fouls, West Bromwich Albion 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsDerby County 0 cards, West Bromwich Albion 4 cards
  • Passes540 passes278 passesDerby County 540 passes, West Bromwich Albion 278 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.9%72.7%Derby County 88.9%, West Bromwich Albion 72.7%
  • Shots inside box7 shots4 shotsDerby County 7 shots, West Bromwich Albion 4 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks0 blocksDerby County 3 blocks, West Bromwich Albion 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves3 savesDerby County 0 saves, West Bromwich Albion 3 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides4 offsidesDerby County 4 offsides, West Bromwich Albion 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 10′Harry WhitwellYellow card · West Bromwich Albion
  2. 16′Aune Selland HeggebøGoal · West Bromwich Albion
  3. 26′Brayann PereiraYellow card · West Bromwich Albion
  4. 34′Brayann PereiraSecond yellow · West Bromwich Albion
  5. Half-time
  6. 82′Jimmy MorganYellow card · West Bromwich Albion
  7. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 37′West Bromwich Albion · 1 player changeNolan Galves
  • 46′Derby County · 1 player changeLars-Jørgen Salvesen
  • 46′West Bromwich Albion · 1 player changeRabby Nzingoula
  • 46′Derby County · 1 player changeJoe Ward
  • 52′West Bromwich Albion · 1 player changeConor Townsend
  • 63′Derby County · 1 player changeHenrik Wendel Meister
  • 84′Derby County · 1 player changeCorey Blackett-Taylor

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Derby County4-2-3-1
  1. Jacob Widell ZetterströmG
  2. Sondre LangåsD
  3. Charlie TaylorD
  4. Ryan NyambeD
  5. Dion SandersonD
  6. Bobby ClarkM
  7. Alex MowattM
  8. Oscar FrauloM
  9. David OzohF
  10. Sammie SzmodicsF
  11. Ryan HedgesF
West Bromwich Albion4-4-2
  1. Max O'LearyG
  2. Nathaniel PhillipsD
  3. Callum StylesD
  4. George CampbellD
  5. Nolan GalvesD
  6. Jayson MolumbyM
  7. Ousmane DiakitéM
  8. Isaac PriceM
  9. Harry WhitwellM
  10. Barney StewartF
  11. Jimmy MorganF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Derby County
1Draws
0West Bromwich Albion
Derby County — West Bromwich Albion · Championship1–1
West Bromwich Albion — Derby County · Championship0–1
West Bromwich Albion — Derby County · Championship1–3
Derby County — West Bromwich Albion · Championship2–1
Derby County — West Bromwich Albion · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Derby County favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 10 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Derby County6 matchesWest Bromwich Albion6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1 goal/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.1 xG/match
10.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/69.83 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 3.83 shots/match
48%Possession6/6● 50.8%
5.83 corners/match ●Corners6/64.5 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls6/69.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDerby CountyWest Bromwich Albion
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headDerby County — West Bromwich Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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