PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt won 1–3.

Shots
1911
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
2.092.15
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt beat 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1. Recorded in this match (1. FSV Mainz 05 – Eintracht Frankfurt): shots 19–11, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 2.09–2.15, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

19.3 shots/match ▲Shots1. FSV Mainz 05 · Eintracht Frankfurt14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FSV Mainz 05Eintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match14.7 shots/match15.7 shots/match
Shots against9.67 shots/match18 shots/match17.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots11 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 19 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 5 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.09 xG2.15 xG1. FSV Mainz 05 2.09 xG, Eintracht Frankfurt 2.15 xG
  • Possession55%45%1. FSV Mainz 05 55%, Eintracht Frankfurt 45%
  • Corners4 corners5 corners1. FSV Mainz 05 4 corners, Eintracht Frankfurt 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 fouls1. FSV Mainz 05 11 fouls, Eintracht Frankfurt 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cards1. FSV Mainz 05 0 cards, Eintracht Frankfurt 2 cards
  • Passes477 passes404 passes1. FSV Mainz 05 477 passes, Eintracht Frankfurt 404 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.1%80.9%1. FSV Mainz 05 81.1%, Eintracht Frankfurt 80.9%
  • Shots inside box12 shots9 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 12 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 9 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks2 blocks1. FSV Mainz 05 8 blocks, Eintracht Frankfurt 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 saves1. FSV Mainz 05 2 saves, Eintracht Frankfurt 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsides1. FSV Mainz 05 1 offside, Eintracht Frankfurt 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 9′Can UzunGoal · Eintracht Frankfurt
  2. 41′Raphael OnyedikaYellow card · Eintracht Frankfurt
  3. 43′Nadiem AmiriPenalty missed · 1. FSV Mainz 05
  4. 45′Jonathan BurkardtGoal · Eintracht Frankfurt
  5. Half-time
  6. 60′Can UzunGoal · Eintracht Frankfurt
  7. 70′Mario GötzeYellow card · Eintracht Frankfurt
  8. 89′Phillip TietzGoal · 1. FSV Mainz 05
  9. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′1. FSV Mainz 05 · 1 player changeRansford Yeboah Königsdörffer
  • 59′Eintracht Frankfurt · 1 player changeMario Götze
  • 62′1. FSV Mainz 05 · 1 player changeDanny da Costa
  • 74′1. FSV Mainz 05 · 2 player changesBenedict Hollerbach · Rael Nakuzola
  • 74′Eintracht Frankfurt · 1 player changeYounes Ebnoutalib
  • 85′1. FSV Mainz 05 · 1 player changeOtto Ruoppi
  • 87′Eintracht Frankfurt · 2 player changesAyoube Amaimouni Echghouyab · Timothy Chandler

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

1. FSV Mainz 053-5-2
  1. Robin ZentnerG
  2. Phillipp MweneD
  3. Fabio GruberD
  4. Stefan PoschD
  5. Anthony CaciD
  6. Kacper PotulskiD
  7. Kaishu SanoM
  8. Jae-sung LeeM
  9. Nadiem AmiriM
  10. Phillip TietzF
  11. Sheraldo BeckerF
Eintracht Frankfurt4-4-2
  1. Noah AtuboluG
  2. Elias BaumD
  3. Lilian BrassierD
  4. Robin KochD
  5. Keita KosugiD
  6. Oscar HøjlundM
  7. Ritsu DoanM
  8. Raphael OnyedikaM
  9. Can UzunM
  10. Jonathan BurkardtF
  11. Younes EbnoutalibF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

21. FSV Mainz 05
1Draws
2Eintracht Frankfurt
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FSV Mainz 05 favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FSV Mainz 053 matchesEintracht Frankfurt3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2.33 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
2.13 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.8 xG/match
19.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/314.7 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/35.33 shots/match
50.7%Possession3/3● 52.3%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners3/35.33 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls3/39.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FSV Mainz 05Eintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-head1. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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