Bundesliga · 2026
vsSeason opening

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Hamburger SV
1Draws
01. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05Hamburger SV · Bundesliga11
Hamburger SV1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga40

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Hamburger SV1 matches
  • 1. FSV Mainz 051 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Hamburger SV

Competition
Bundesliga
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
25 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.18 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.59 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.2 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.78 xG/match
  • Shots12.3 shots/match
  • Shots allowed14.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.56 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.09 shots/match
  • Possession45.4%
  • Corners3.68 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.85 corners/match
  • Cards2.57 cards/match
  • Fouls11.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency18%
  • Scoring frequency71%

1. FSV Mainz 05

Competition
Bundesliga
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
25 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.29 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.56 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.62 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.64 xG/match
  • Shots12.1 shots/match
  • Shots allowed14.1 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.15 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.06 shots/match
  • Possession43.9%
  • Corners5.06 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.59 corners/match
  • Cards2.52 cards/match
  • Fouls11 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency12%
  • Scoring frequency71%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
Freshness8 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4
Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Stats & Previous-Season Context | PitchMath