PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

Hamburger SV 0–5 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

0–5Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

1. FSV Mainz 05 won 0–5.

Shots
817
Shots on target
18
Expected goals
0.193.06
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FSV Mainz 05 beat Hamburger SV 5–0. Recorded in this match (Hamburger SV – 1. FSV Mainz 05): shots 8–17, shots on target 1–8, expected goals 0.19–3.06, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots17 shotsHamburger SV 8 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 17 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot8 shotsHamburger SV 1 shot, 1. FSV Mainz 05 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.19 xG3.06 xGHamburger SV 0.19 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 3.06 xG
  • Possession54%46%Hamburger SV 54%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 46%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersHamburger SV 4 corners, 1. FSV Mainz 05 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls19 foulsHamburger SV 14 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsHamburger SV 1 card, 1. FSV Mainz 05 3 cards
  • Passes420 passes352 passesHamburger SV 420 passes, 1. FSV Mainz 05 352 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.6%77%Hamburger SV 82.6%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 77%
  • Shots inside box3 shots14 shotsHamburger SV 3 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 14 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksHamburger SV 5 blocks, 1. FSV Mainz 05 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves1 saveHamburger SV 3 saves, 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideHamburger SV 2 offsides, 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 19′Sheraldo BeckerGoal · 1. FSV Mainz 05
  2. 31′Anthony CaciYellow card · 1. FSV Mainz 05
  3. 36′Zakaria El OuahdiYellow card · Hamburger SV
  4. 41′Phillipp MweneGoal · 1. FSV Mainz 05
  5. Half-time
  6. 48′Phillip TietzGoal · 1. FSV Mainz 05
  7. 83′Phillip TietzGoal · 1. FSV Mainz 05
  8. 85′Phillipp MweneYellow card · 1. FSV Mainz 05
  9. 90′Ransford Yeboah KönigsdörfferGoal · 1. FSV Mainz 05
  10. 90′Sheraldo BeckerYellow card · 1. FSV Mainz 05
  11. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Hamburger SV · 3 player changesFábio Vieira · Shafiq Nandja · Patson Daka
  • 64′Hamburger SV · 1 player changeOtto Stange
  • 68′1. FSV Mainz 05 · 1 player changeRansford Yeboah Königsdörffer
  • 81′1. FSV Mainz 05 · 1 player changeDanny da Costa
  • 84′Hamburger SV · 1 player changeLouis Lemke
  • 88′1. FSV Mainz 05 · 3 player changesLennard Maloney · Otto Ruoppi · Rael Nakuzola

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Hamburger SV3-4-2-1
  1. Daniel FernandesG
  2. Zakaria El OuahdiD
  3. Jordan TorunarighaD
  4. Nicolás CapaldoD
  5. Sebastiaan BornauwD
  6. Louis LemkeD
  7. Albert Sambi LokongaM
  8. Nicolai RembergM
  9. Albert GrønbækF
  10. Fábio VieiraF
  11. Patson DakaF
1. FSV Mainz 053-5-2
  1. Robin ZentnerG
  2. Phillipp MweneD
  3. Fabio GruberD
  4. Anthony CaciD
  5. Danny da CostaD
  6. Kacper PotulskiD
  7. Kaishu SanoM
  8. Jae-sung LeeM
  9. Nadiem AmiriM
  10. Phillip TietzF
  11. Sheraldo BeckerF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Hamburger SV
1Draws
01. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Hamburger SV · Bundesliga1–1
Hamburger SV — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
7.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

Hamburger SV / 1. FSV Mainz 05

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsHamburger SV1. FSV Mainz 05
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headHamburger SV — 1. FSV Mainz 05
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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