PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Auxerre 1–0 Nice · Ligue 1

1–0Full-time analysis

Nice

DLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Auxerre won 1–0.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.510.89
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Auxerre beat Nice 1–0. Recorded in this match (Auxerre – Nice): shots 11–12, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.51–0.89, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Auxerre show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Auxerre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAuxerre · Nice12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAuxerreNiceBaseline
Shots12 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match11 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Nice have recorded the higher season possession share.

44%PossessionAuxerre · Nice● 60.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAuxerreNiceBaseline
Possession44%60.3%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsAuxerre 11 shots, Nice 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsAuxerre 7 shots, Nice 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG0.89 xGAuxerre 1.51 xG, Nice 0.89 xG
  • Possession32%68%Auxerre 32%, Nice 68%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersAuxerre 3 corners, Nice 8 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsAuxerre 8 fouls, Nice 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardAuxerre 1 card, Nice 1 card
  • Passes295 passes643 passesAuxerre 295 passes, Nice 643 passes
  • Pass accuracy69.5%87.9%Auxerre 69.5%, Nice 87.9%
  • Shots inside box11 shots7 shotsAuxerre 11 shots, Nice 7 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksAuxerre 1 block, Nice 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves4 savesAuxerre 4 saves, Nice 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesAuxerre 0 offsides, Nice 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 44′Kévin DanoisYellow card · Auxerre
  2. Half-time
  3. 74′Cameron ArcherGoal · Auxerre
  4. 74′Djibril CoulibalyYellow card · Nice
  5. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 71′Auxerre · 1 player changeRomain Faivre
  • 72′Nice · 1 player changeAli Abdi
  • 81′Auxerre · 1 player changeNaouirou Ahamada
  • 82′Auxerre · 1 player changePierre Ekwah
  • 86′Nice · 4 player changesSofiane Diop · Isak Jansson · Hicham Boudaoui · Nathan N'Goumou
  • 87′Auxerre · 1 player changeRayan Mandengue

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Auxerre4-3-3
  1. Mamadou DiopG
  2. Christ MakossoD
  3. Sinaly DiomandéD
  4. Lamine SyD
  5. Clement AkpaD
  6. Kévin DanoisM
  7. Naouirou AhamadaM
  8. Arthur PiedfortM
  9. Remy Labeau LascaryF
  10. Cameron ArcherF
  11. Danny NamasoF
Nice3-4-2-1
  1. Yehvann DioufG
  2. Mohamed AbdelmonemD
  3. Niels NkounkouD
  4. Xavier MandzaD
  5. Youssouf NdayishimiyeD
  6. Jonathan ClaussD
  7. Axel WitselM
  8. Djibril CoulibalyM
  9. Gauthier HeinF
  10. Sofiane DiopF
  11. Elye WahiF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Auxerre
2Draws
1Nice
Auxerre — Nice · Ligue 12–1
Nice — Auxerre · Ligue 13–1
Nice — Auxerre · Ligue 11–1
Auxerre — Nice · Ligue 12–1
Nice — Auxerre · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Auxerre favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Nice in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Auxerre4 matchesNice4 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.25 goals/match
2.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.92 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots4/412.3 shots/match
5.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/42.75 shots/match
44%Possession4/4● 60.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6.5 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/48.25 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAuxerreNice
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headAuxerre — Nice
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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