PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Lorient 2–2 Toulouse · Ligue 1

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Lorient and Toulouse drew 2–2.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.751.32
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lorient and Toulouse drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Lorient – Toulouse): shots 10–13, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.75–1.32, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsLorient 10 shots, Toulouse 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsLorient 3 shots, Toulouse 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG1.32 xGLorient 0.75 xG, Toulouse 1.32 xG
  • Possession41%59%Lorient 41%, Toulouse 59%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersLorient 4 corners, Toulouse 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls18 foulsLorient 8 fouls, Toulouse 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsLorient 1 card, Toulouse 0 cards
  • Passes445 passes654 passesLorient 445 passes, Toulouse 654 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.6%88.5%Lorient 83.6%, Toulouse 88.5%
  • Shots inside box6 shots13 shotsLorient 6 shots, Toulouse 13 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksLorient 3 blocks, Toulouse 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveLorient 2 saves, Toulouse 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideLorient 2 offsides, Toulouse 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 17′Panos KatserisYellow card · Lorient
  2. 37′Ibrahima BaldéGoal · Lorient
  3. 39′Noah MbambaGoal · Lorient
  4. Half-time
  5. 48′Casper TengstedtGoal · Toulouse
  6. 68′Thomas JørgensenGoal · Toulouse
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Toulouse · 2 player changesNiko Sigur · Casper Tengstedt
  • 58′Lorient · 2 player changesIsak Steiner Jensen · Théo Le Bris
  • 67′Toulouse · 1 player changeSion Oppong
  • 69′Lorient · 2 player changesMamadou Koné · Arthur Avom Ebong
  • 84′Toulouse · 2 player changesIsmail Diallo · Alexis Vossah

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Lorient3-4-2-1
  1. Yvon MvogoG
  2. Montassar TalbiD
  3. Dembo SyllaD
  4. Nathaniel AdjeiD
  5. Arsène KouassiD
  6. Panos KatserisD
  7. Noah CadiouM
  8. Noah MbambaM
  9. Jean Victor MakengoF
  10. Gabin BernardeauF
  11. Mamadou KonéF
Toulouse4-2-3-1
  1. Mathys NifloreG
  2. Mark McKenzieD
  3. Seny KoumbassaD
  4. Christ TapéD
  5. Rafik MessaliD
  6. Alexis VossahM
  7. Thomas JørgensenM
  8. Cristian Cásseres Jr.M
  9. Santiago HidalgoF
  10. Jacen Russell RoweF
  11. Ilyas AziziF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lorient
2Draws
3Toulouse
Toulouse — Lorient · Ligue 11–0
Lorient — Toulouse · Ligue 11–1
Lorient — Toulouse · Ligue 11–2
Toulouse — Lorient · Ligue 11–1
Lorient — Toulouse · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Toulouse in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient4 matchesToulouse4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/41 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 2.12 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 15 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4.5 shots/match
47.8%Possession4/4● 52.3%
2.25 corners/matchCorners4/4● 4.25 corners/match
7.75 fouls/matchFouls4/416.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLorientToulouse
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headLorient — Toulouse
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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