PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City · Premier League

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 0–1.

Shots
166
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.950.99
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Manchester United 1–0. Recorded in this match (Manchester United – Manchester City): shots 16–6, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.95–0.99, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.75 corners/matchCornersManchester United · Manchester City● 6.25 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedManchester CityBaseline
Corners5.75 corners/match6.25 corners/match4.5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester United · Manchester City13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedManchester CityBaseline
Shots21 shots/match13 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots6 shotsManchester United 16 shots, Manchester City 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsManchester United 3 shots, Manchester City 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG0.99 xGManchester United 0.95 xG, Manchester City 0.99 xG
  • Possession55%45%Manchester United 55%, Manchester City 45%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersManchester United 6 corners, Manchester City 7 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls10 foulsManchester United 17 fouls, Manchester City 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsManchester United 1 card, Manchester City 2 cards
  • Passes472 passes395 passesManchester United 472 passes, Manchester City 395 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.9%82.3%Manchester United 86.9%, Manchester City 82.3%
  • Shots inside box6 shots2 shotsManchester United 6 shots, Manchester City 2 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksManchester United 4 blocks, Manchester City 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesManchester United 1 save, Manchester City 3 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideManchester United 4 offsides, Manchester City 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 23′Phil FodenRed card · Manchester City
  2. Half-time
  3. 60′Erling HaalandGoal · Manchester City
  4. 79′Joško GvardiolYellow card · Manchester City
  5. 81′Harry MaguireYellow card · Manchester United
  6. 81′Enzo FernándezYellow card · Manchester City
  7. Full time
Player changes · 4grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Manchester City · 1 player changeIliman Ndiaye
  • 67′Manchester United · 1 player changeBenjamin Šeško
  • 82′Manchester City · 1 player changeNico O'Reilly
  • 83′Manchester United · 1 player changeJoshua Zirkzee

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Manchester United4-2-3-1
  1. Senne LammensG
  2. Diogo DalotD
  3. Harry MaguireD
  4. Lisandro MartínezD
  5. Luke ShawD
  6. Bruno FernandesM
  7. Youri TielemansM
  8. Kobbie MainooM
  9. Marcus RashfordF
  10. Matheus CunhaF
  11. Bryan MbeumoF
Manchester City4-2-3-1
  1. Gianluigi DonnarummaG
  2. Rúben DiasD
  3. Marc GuéhiD
  4. Joško GvardiolD
  5. Abdukodir KhusanovD
  6. Elliot AndersonM
  7. Rayan CherkiM
  8. Enzo FernándezM
  9. Iliman NdiayeF
  10. Erling HaalandF
  11. Antoine SemenyoF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Manchester United
1Draws
2Manchester City
Manchester United — Manchester City · Premier League2–0
Manchester City — Manchester United · Premier League3–0
Manchester United — Manchester City · Premier League0–0
Manchester City — Manchester United · Premier League1–2
Manchester City — Manchester United · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester City in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester United4 matchesManchester City4 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.5 goals/match
2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.65 xG/match
21 shots/match ▲Shots4/413 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target4/45.25 shots/match
60.5%Possession4/4● 65.3%
5.75 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6.25 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls4/49.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester UnitedManchester City
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headManchester United — Manchester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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