UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

Benfica

LLLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusBenfica
Shots12 shots/match16 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.36 xG/match1.38 xG/match
Possession46%54%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Samuel Dahl · Benfica · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Sudakov · Benfica · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGianluca Prestianni · Benfica · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Schjelderup · Benfica · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Aursnes · Benfica · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFranjo Ivanović · Benfica · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFredrik Aursnes · Benfica · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Barrenechea · Benfica · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGeorgiy Sudakov · Benfica · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Sudakov · Benfica · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Juventus · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Sudakov · Benfica · 23′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWeston McKennie · Juventus · 54′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 55′ · 0.06 xG · goalVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Prestianni · Benfica · 25′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 85′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 8′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Juventus · 43′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 64′ · 0.61 xG · goalVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 81′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.40 xG. Benfica: 16 shots, 3 on target, 1.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Khéphren Thuram · Juventus · 55′Weston McKennie · Juventus · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 1.40 xG · Benfica 1.41 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Benfica's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Benfica have a visible away split

moderate

Benfica's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.43 corners/matchCornersJuventus · Benfica5.36 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricJuventusBenficaBaseline
Corners6.43 corners/match5.36 corners/match4.57 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Benfica in 6 · 3 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/111 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/110.91 goals/match
1.87 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.25 xG/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.28 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/1113.6 shots/match
15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/1110.2 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/113.91 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/113.45 shots/match
48.6%Possessionseason · 7/1149.1%
6.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/115.36 corners/match
5.14 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/114.82 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
14.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/1110.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/1155%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/1155%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus34.5
Benfica36.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus81.1
Benfica32.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus43
Benfica86.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus96.4
Benfica58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus86.9
Benfica44
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus85.7
Benfica70.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus86.3
Benfica47.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.91 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.3 xG/match
18.2 shots/matchShots5/513.6 shots/match
7.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
46.6%Possession5/546.6%
7.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 10 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored7/100.9 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/101 goals/match
1.87 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.25 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShots7/1013.6 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on target7/103.7 shots/match
48.6%Possession7/1048.7%
6.43 corners/matchCorners7/105.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.9 fouls/matchFouls7/1010.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 11 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored7/111 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/110.91 goals/match
1.87 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.25 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShots7/1113.6 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on target7/113.91 shots/match
48.6%Possession7/1149.1%
6.43 corners/matchCorners7/115.36 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.9 fouls/matchFouls7/1110.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 6 matches
2.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/60.67 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/61 goals/match
1.87 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.93 xG/match
18.5 shots/matchShots4/611 shots/match
6.25 shots/matchShots on target4/63.5 shots/match
52.3%Possession4/647.2%
6.75 corners/matchCorners4/65.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.5 fouls/matchFouls4/611.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

42 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/142 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 22 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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