PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio da Luz

Benfica 4–0 CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga

Benfica

WWDWW
4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Benfica won 4–0.

Shots
153
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
2.40.29
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Benfica beat Estrela 4–0. Recorded in this match (Benfica – Estrela): shots 15–3, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 2.4–0.29, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estrela have a visible away split

moderate

Estrela's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.44 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.44 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Estrela's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Estrela's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Estrela show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Estrela's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBenfica · Estrela10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBenficaEstrelaBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against8.25 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots3 shotsBenfica 15 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 3 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotBenfica 8 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.4 xG0.29 xGBenfica 2.4 xG, CF Estrela Amadora 0.29 xG
  • Possession66%34%Benfica 66%, CF Estrela Amadora 34%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerBenfica 6 corners, CF Estrela Amadora 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls24 foulsBenfica 10 fouls, CF Estrela Amadora 24 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsBenfica 3 cards, CF Estrela Amadora 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Enzo Barrenechea · Benfica · 6′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSidny Lopes Cabral · Benfica · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDaniel Banjaqui · Benfica · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Banjaqui · Benfica · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIanis Stoica · Estrela · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSidny Lopes Cabral · Benfica · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Dahl · Benfica · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIanis Stoica · Estrela · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Banjaqui · Benfica · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 42′ · 0.11 xG · goalVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 61′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAntónio Silva · Benfica · 63′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAnísio Cabral · Benfica · 84′ · 0.15 xG · goalLeandro Antonetti · Estrela · 2′ · 0.23 xG · on targetSidny Lopes Cabral · Benfica · 58′ · 0.31 xG · goalFredrik Aursnes · Benfica · 8′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 55′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Benfica: 15 shots, 8 on target, 2.43 xG. Estrela: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Vangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 42′Vangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 55′Sidny Lopes Cabral · Benfica · 58′Anísio Cabral · Benfica · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Benfica 2.43 xG · Estrela 0.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Benfica
0Draws
0CF Estrela Amadora
CF Estrela Amadora — Benfica · Primeira Liga0–1
CF Estrela Amadora — Benfica · Primeira Liga2–3
Benfica — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga1–0
CF Estrela Amadora — Benfica · Primeira Liga1–4
Benfica — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Benfica favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · CF Estrela Amadora in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Benfica20 matchesCF Estrela Amadora20 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.3 goals/match
0.55 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.8 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.18 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots20/2010.9 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/203.65 shots/match
58.7% ●Possession20/2047.6%
5.6 corners/match ●Corners20/203.35 corners/match
2.26 cards/matchCards19/192.84 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls20/2014.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBenficaCF Estrela Amadora
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headBenfica — CF Estrela Amadora
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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