Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio José Gomes

CF Estrela Amadora 0–5 Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga

0–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Estoril Praia won 0–5.

Shots
611
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.222.29
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Estoril beat Estrela 5–0. Recorded in this match (Estrela – Estoril): shots 6–11, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.22–2.29, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estrela's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Estrela's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Estrela have a visible home split

moderate

Estrela's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots11 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 6 shots, Estoril Praia 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 2 shots, Estoril Praia 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.22 xG2.29 xGCF Estrela Amadora 0.22 xG, Estoril Praia 2.29 xG
  • Possession40%60%CF Estrela Amadora 40%, Estoril Praia 60%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersCF Estrela Amadora 1 corner, Estoril Praia 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsCF Estrela Amadora 16 fouls, Estoril Praia 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsCF Estrela Amadora 2 cards, Estoril Praia 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jovane Cabral · Estrela · 48′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoão Carvalho · Estoril · 3′ · 0.02 xG · goalKikas · Estrela · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntef Tsoungui · Estoril · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntef Tsoungui · Estoril · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbraham Marcus · Estrela · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJefferson Encada · Estrela · 37′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKikas · Estrela · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 70′ · 0.06 xG · goalJovane Cabral · Estrela · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoão Carvalho · Estoril · 42′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Marqués · Estoril · 16′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRafik Guitane · Estoril · 2′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 21′ · 0.25 xG · on targetYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 51′ · 0.27 xG · goalAlejandro Marqués · Estoril · 65′ · 0.44 xG · goalYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 54′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Estrela: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.21 xG. Estoril: 11 shots, 6 on target, 2.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′João Carvalho · Estoril · 3′Yanis Begraoui · Estoril · 51′Yanis Begraoui · Estoril · 54′Alejandro Marqués · Estoril · 65′Yanis Begraoui · Estoril · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Estrela 0.21 xG · Estoril 2.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CF Estrela Amadora
1Draws
3Estoril Praia
Estoril Praia — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga1–1
Estoril Praia — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga4–0
CF Estrela Amadora — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga2–4
Estoril Praia — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga1–0
CF Estrela Amadora — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CF Estrela Amadora favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Estoril Praia in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CF Estrela Amadora19 matchesEstoril Praia19 matches
1.37 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.89 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.34 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 12.5 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 4.42 shots/match
48.3%Possession19/19● 50.9%
3.47 corners/matchCorners19/19● 4.32 corners/match
2.78 cards/matchCards18/182.89 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Jan 2026, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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