Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitória SC 0–1 FC Porto · Primeira Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Porto won 0–1.

Shots
2012
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.462.29
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Porto beat Guimaraes 1–0. Recorded in this match (Guimaraes – FC Porto): shots 20–12, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.46–2.29, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guimaraes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guimaraes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.58 corners/matchCornersGuimaraes · FC Porto● 5.11 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricGuimaraesFC PortoBaseline
Corners4.58 corners/match5.11 corners/match4.16 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots12 shotsVitória SC 20 shots, FC Porto 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsVitória SC 3 shots, FC Porto 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG2.29 xGVitória SC 1.46 xG, FC Porto 2.29 xG
  • Possession50%50%Vitória SC 50%, FC Porto 50%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerVitória SC 6 corners, FC Porto 1 corner
  • Fouls19 fouls15 foulsVitória SC 19 fouls, FC Porto 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsVitória SC 4 cards, FC Porto 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tony Strata · Guimaraes · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Costa · FC Porto · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Nogueira · Guimaraes · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTelmo Arcanjo · Guimaraes · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 10′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTony Strata · Guimaraes · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Gomes · FC Porto · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Gül · FC Porto · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodrigo Mora · FC Porto · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kiwior · FC Porto · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 19′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMiguel Nóbrega · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOrest Lebedenko · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Nóbrega · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlan Varela · FC Porto · 63′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMiguel Nóbrega · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabri Veiga · FC Porto · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Nóbrega · Guimaraes · 24′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Mora · FC Porto · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGabri Veiga · FC Porto · 53′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 3′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedOrest Lebedenko · Guimaraes · 68′ · 0.19 xG · on targetBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 71′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 27′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedSamu Aghehowa · FC Porto · 27′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blockedAlan Varela · FC Porto · 85′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Guimaraes: 20 shots, 3 on target, 1.41 xG. FC Porto: 12 shots, 3 on target, 2.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Alan Varela · FC Porto · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Guimaraes 1.41 xG · FC Porto 2.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vitória SC
1Draws
3FC Porto
FC Porto — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga3–0
FC Porto — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–1
Vitória SC — FC Porto · Primeira Liga0–3
FC Porto — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–2
Vitória SC — FC Porto · Primeira Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória SC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Porto in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória SC19 matchesFC Porto19 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 2.05 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 0.21 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.84 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.58 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 5.42 shots/match
49.4%Possession19/19● 57%
4.58 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.11 corners/match
2.56 cards/matchCards18/182.39 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Jan 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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