PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Famalicão 3–0 Tondela · Primeira Liga

3–0Historical match

Tondela

LLWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Famalicão won 3–0.

Shots
92
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
0.660.11
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Famalicao beat Tondela 3–0. Recorded in this match (Famalicao – Tondela): shots 9–2, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 0.66–0.11, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tondela's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tondela's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.6 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tondela show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tondela's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsFamalicao · Tondela10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFamalicaoTondelaBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Famalicao have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.3% ●PossessionFamalicao · Tondela42.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFamalicaoTondelaBaseline
Possession51.3%42.6%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots2 shotsFamalicão 9 shots, Tondela 2 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsFamalicão 4 shots, Tondela 0 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG0.11 xGFamalicão 0.66 xG, Tondela 0.11 xG
  • Possession61%39%Famalicão 61%, Tondela 39%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersFamalicão 3 corners, Tondela 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls20 foulsFamalicão 9 fouls, Tondela 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardFamalicão 0 cards, Tondela 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mathias De Amorim · Famalicao · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMathias De Amorim · Famalicao · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Van De Looi · Famalicao · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Bondo · Famalicao · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaranhão · Tondela · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGil Dias · Famalicao · 69′ · 0.03 xG · goalMathias De Amorim · Famalicao · 31′ · 0.06 xG · goalSorriso · Famalicao · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMaranhão · Tondela · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Joujou · Famalicao · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPedro Santos · Famalicao · 82′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Famalicao: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.67 xG. Tondela: 2 shots, 0 on target, 0.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Mathias De Amorim · Famalicao · 31′Gil Dias · Famalicao · 69′Pedro Santos · Famalicao · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Famalicao 0.67 xG · Tondela 0.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Famalicão
0Draws
1Tondela
Tondela — Famalicão · Primeira Liga0–1
Famalicão — Tondela · Primeira Liga2–1
Tondela — Famalicão · Primeira Liga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Famalicão favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Tondela in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Famalicão20 matchesTondela20 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/200.7 goals/match
0.7 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.75 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.16 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots20/2010.7 shots/match
4.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/203.4 shots/match
51.3% ●Possession20/2042.6%
5.35 corners/match ●Corners20/203.7 corners/match
2.79 cards/matchCards19/192.79 cards/match
17.9 fouls/matchFouls20/2014.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFamalicãoTondela
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headFamalicão — Tondela
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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