Eredivisie · 2025Sun, 24 Aug 2025, 10:15 UTCFull timeAbe Lenstra StadionFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSC HeerenveenFC Twente
Shots18 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals2.52 xG/match2.06 xG/match
Possession55%45%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ringo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 42′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoris van Overeem · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Booth · FC Twente · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Linday · SC Heerenveen · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSam Kersten · SC Heerenveen · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Sejk · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 17′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 84′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDaan Rots · FC Twente · 12′ · 0.14 xG · goalBas Kuipers · FC Twente · 83′ · 0.23 xG · on targetDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 64′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 57′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 57′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 69′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 6′ · 0.55 xG · on targetNaci Ünüvar · FC Twente · 82′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blockedNaci Ünüvar · FC Twente · 84′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Heerenveen: 18 shots, 3 on target, 2.34 xG. FC Twente: 9 shots, 5 on target, 2.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Václav Sejk · SC Heerenveen · 90′Daan Rots · FC Twente · 12′Naci Ünüvar · FC Twente · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Heerenveen 2.34 xG · FC Twente 2.13 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

FC Twente show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.3 shots/matchShotsSC Heerenveen · FC Twente14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC HeerenveenFC TwenteBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match14.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against7.33 shots/match13.3 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

SC Heerenveen favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · FC Twente in 0 · 14 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.33 goals/match
1.79 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.33 xG/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.56 xG/match
17.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/314.7 shots/match
7.33 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/313.3 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34.33 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33 shots/match
52.7%Possessionseason · 3/351%
8 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/35.33 corners/match
3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/314.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/333%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SC Heerenveen79.2
FC Twente66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SC Heerenveen52.8
FC Twente36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SC Heerenveen77.8
FC Twente76.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SC Heerenveen70.8
FC Twente45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SC Heerenveen54.2
FC Twente87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SC Heerenveen95.8
FC Twente45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SC Heerenveen67.7
FC Twente56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
1.79 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.33 xG/match
17.3 shots/matchShots3/314.7 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/34.33 shots/match
52.7%Possession3/351%
8 corners/matchCorners3/35.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls3/314.7 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
1.79 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.33 xG/match
17.3 shots/matchShots3/314.7 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/34.33 shots/match
52.7%Possession3/351%
8 corners/matchCorners3/35.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls3/314.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
1.79 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.33 xG/match
17.3 shots/matchShots3/314.7 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/34.33 shots/match
52.7%Possession3/351%
8 corners/matchCorners3/35.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls3/314.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.64 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Aug 2025, 14:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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SC Heerenveen vs FC Twente — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath