Eredivisie · 2025Stadion de Goffert

NEC Nijmegen 3–0 NAC Breda · Eredivisie

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

NEC Nijmegen won 3–0.

Shots
187
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
4.10.61
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

NEC Nijmegen beat NAC Breda 3–0. Recorded in this match (NEC Nijmegen – NAC Breda): shots 18–7, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 4.1–0.61, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

NAC Breda show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

NAC Breda's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsNEC Nijmegen · NAC Breda9.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNEC NijmegenNAC BredaBaseline
Shots19 shots/match9.33 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against9.67 shots/match16 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

NEC Nijmegen have recorded the higher season possession share.

65% ●PossessionNEC Nijmegen · NAC Breda42.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNEC NijmegenNAC BredaBaseline
Possession65%42.7%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsNEC Nijmegen · NAC Breda13 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNEC NijmegenNAC BredaBaseline
Fouls13.7 fouls/match13 fouls/match10.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsNEC Nijmegen 18 shots, NAC Breda 7 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsNEC Nijmegen 10 shots, NAC Breda 2 shots
  • Expected goals4.1 xG0.61 xGNEC Nijmegen 4.1 xG, NAC Breda 0.61 xG
  • Possession51%49%NEC Nijmegen 51%, NAC Breda 49%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerNEC Nijmegen 3 corners, NAC Breda 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls18 foulsNEC Nijmegen 16 fouls, NAC Breda 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBoy Kemper · NAC Breda · 2′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 12′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBaşar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDion Versluis · NAC Breda · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBaşar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 47′ · 0.05 xG · goalEnes Mahmutović · NAC Breda · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilien Balard · NAC Breda · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRaul Paula · NAC Breda · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVito van Crooij · NEC Nijmegen · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBaşar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLewis Holtby · NAC Breda · 35′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 37′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 10′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJuho Talvitie · NAC Breda · 32′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 53′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedVito van Crooij · NEC Nijmegen · 81′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedBaşar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 83′ · 0.19 xG · on targetKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 25′ · 0.28 xG · on targetBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 23′ · 0.60 xG · off target or blockedBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 30′ · 0.60 xG · off target or blockedVito van Crooij · NEC Nijmegen · 78′ · 0.81 xG · goalTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 8′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

NEC Nijmegen: 18 shots, 10 on target, 4.19 xG. NAC Breda: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Tjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 8′Başar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 47′Vito van Crooij · NEC Nijmegen · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: NEC Nijmegen 4.19 xG · NAC Breda 0.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1NEC Nijmegen
0Draws
1NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen — NAC Breda · Eredivisie3–0
NAC Breda — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: NEC Nijmegen favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · NAC Breda in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

NEC Nijmegen3 matchesNAC Breda3 matches
4 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match
0.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
3.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.97 xG/match
19 shots/match ▲Shots3/39.33 shots/match
10.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/32.67 shots/match
65% ●Possession3/342.7%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners3/33 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Aug 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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