Eredivisie · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 16:45 UTCFull timeAbe Lenstra StadionFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSC HeerenveenGo Ahead Eagles
Shots19 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals2.41 xG/match0.96 xG/match
Possession56%44%
Corners3 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Aske Adelgaard · Go Ahead Eagles · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoris van Overeem · SC Heerenveen · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 1′ · 0.04 xG · goalDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 66′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFinn Stokkers · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetVáclav Sejk · SC Heerenveen · 84′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFinn Stokkers · Go Ahead Eagles · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 67′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMats Deijl · Go Ahead Eagles · 86′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 86′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 25′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 66′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 25′ · 0.17 xG · on targetFinn Stokkers · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.23 xG · goalJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 48′ · 0.28 xG · goalVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.31 xG · on targetRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 74′ · 0.49 xG · on targetNikolai Soyset Hopland · SC Heerenveen · 45′ · 0.75 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Heerenveen: 19 shots, 5 on target, 2.73 xG. Go Ahead Eagles: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Nikolai Soyset Hopland · SC Heerenveen · 45′Jacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 48′Melle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 1′Finn Stokkers · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Heerenveen 2.73 xG · Go Ahead Eagles 1.26 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SC Heerenveen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

SC Heerenveen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Heerenveen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.8 shots/matchShotsSC Heerenveen · Go Ahead Eagles11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC HeerenveenGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against8.25 shots/match22.8 shots/match14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.75 corners/matchCornersSC Heerenveen · Go Ahead Eagles7.5 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSC HeerenveenGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Corners6.75 corners/match7.5 corners/match5.33 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

SC Heerenveen favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Go Ahead Eagles in 0 · 14 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/42.25 goals/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.21 xG/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/42.06 xG/match
17.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411.3 shots/match
8.25 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/422.8 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.25 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/47.25 shots/match
53.5%Possessionseason · 4/448.5%
6.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/47.5 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45.25 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/49 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SC Heerenveen67.9
Go Ahead Eagles53.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SC Heerenveen50
Go Ahead Eagles36.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SC Heerenveen69
Go Ahead Eagles19.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SC Heerenveen82.1
Go Ahead Eagles25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SC Heerenveen35.7
Go Ahead Eagles14.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SC Heerenveen75
Go Ahead Eagles85.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SC Heerenveen55.4
Go Ahead Eagles40.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/42.25 goals/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.21 xG/match
17.8 shots/matchShots4/411.3 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target4/44.25 shots/match
53.5%Possession4/448.5%
6.75 corners/matchCorners4/47.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/42.25 goals/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.21 xG/match
17.8 shots/matchShots4/411.3 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target4/44.25 shots/match
53.5%Possession4/448.5%
6.75 corners/matchCorners4/47.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/42.25 goals/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.21 xG/match
17.8 shots/matchShots4/411.3 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target4/44.25 shots/match
53.5%Possession4/448.5%
6.75 corners/matchCorners4/47.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
2.03 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
18.3 shots/matchShots3/2
4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/2
56.3%Possession3/2
6.33 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards0/0
9 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.27 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.09 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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