Eredivisie · 2025Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 14:30 UTCFull timeDe AdelaarshorstFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGo Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam
Shots19 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals2.24 xG/match1.73 xG/match
Possession68%32%
Corners12 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 22′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMats Deijl · Go Ahead Eagles · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEvert Linthorst · Go Ahead Eagles · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGerrit Nauber · Go Ahead Eagles · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAyoub Oufkir · Sparta Rotterdam · 70′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYassir Rahmouni · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDean James · Go Ahead Eagles · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSayfallah Ltaief · Sparta Rotterdam · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRichonell Margaret · Go Ahead Eagles · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAyoub Oufkir · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoris Kramer · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDean James · Go Ahead Eagles · 67′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGerrit Nauber · Go Ahead Eagles · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 22′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPelle Clement · Sparta Rotterdam · 36′ · 0.10 xG · goalPelle Clement · Sparta Rotterdam · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 75′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 42′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJoris Kramer · Go Ahead Eagles · 59′ · 0.11 xG · on targetEvert Linthorst · Go Ahead Eagles · 20′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 1′ · 0.19 xG · on targetTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 62′ · 0.19 xG · goalJens Toornstra · Sparta Rotterdam · 55′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 80′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedTeo Quintero · Sparta Rotterdam · 86′ · 0.49 xG · goalOskar Siira Sivertsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 72′ · 0.77 xG · off target or blockedMats Deijl · Go Ahead Eagles · 67′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Go Ahead Eagles: 19 shots, 6 on target, 2.67 xG. Sparta Rotterdam: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Pelle Clement · Sparta Rotterdam · 36′Tobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 62′Teo Quintero · Sparta Rotterdam · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Go Ahead Eagles 2.67 xG · Sparta Rotterdam 1.73 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sparta Rotterdam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Go Ahead Eagles have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Sparta Rotterdam show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sparta Rotterdam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/matchShotsGo Ahead Eagles · Sparta Rotterdam12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGo Ahead EaglesSparta RotterdamBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match12 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against24 shots/match20.3 shots/match18.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Go Ahead Eagles have recorded the higher season possession share.

50%PossessionGo Ahead Eagles · Sparta Rotterdam37%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGo Ahead EaglesSparta RotterdamBaseline
Possession50%37%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Go Ahead Eagles favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Sparta Rotterdam in 0 · 14 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/32.33 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.4 xG/match
1.94 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.75 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312 shots/match
24 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/320.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34.67 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/37.67 shots/match
50%Possessionseason · 3/337%
7.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/33.67 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/38.67 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/36.33 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Go Ahead Eagles62.5
Sparta Rotterdam12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Go Ahead Eagles12.5
Sparta Rotterdam54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Go Ahead Eagles25
Sparta Rotterdam41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Go Ahead Eagles12.5
Sparta Rotterdam62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Go Ahead Eagles37.5
Sparta Rotterdam12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Go Ahead Eagles87.5
Sparta Rotterdam37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Go Ahead Eagles37.5
Sparta Rotterdam37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/32 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32.33 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.4 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots3/312 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/34.67 shots/match
50%Possession3/337%
7.67 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
8 fouls/matchFouls3/36.33 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/32 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32.33 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.4 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots3/312 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/34.67 shots/match
50%Possession3/337%
7.67 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
8 fouls/matchFouls3/36.33 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/32 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32.33 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.4 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots3/312 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/34.67 shots/match
50%Possession3/337%
7.67 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
8 fouls/matchFouls3/36.33 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.18 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.08 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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