Eredivisie · 2025Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 16:45 UTCFull timePhilips StadionFull-time recap
42Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPSV EindhovenFC Groningen
Shots23 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals2.17 xG/match1.26 xG/match
Possession66%34%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Younes Taha · FC Groningen · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuben van Bommel · PSV Eindhoven · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 46′ · 0.03 xG · goalStije Resink · FC Groningen · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMats Seuntjens · FC Groningen · 87′ · 0.03 xG · goalIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 19′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMats Seuntjens · FC Groningen · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDies Janse · FC Groningen · 68′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOskar Zawada · FC Groningen · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOskar Zawada · FC Groningen · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedStije Resink · FC Groningen · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYarek Gasiorowski · PSV Eindhoven · 89′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 37′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 66′ · 0.10 xG · on targetBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 61′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 16′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 39′ · 0.13 xG · goalEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 66′ · 0.14 xG · goalIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 10′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 81′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMats Seuntjens · FC Groningen · 81′ · 0.26 xG · on targetGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 32′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedRuben van Bommel · PSV Eindhoven · 49′ · 0.51 xG · goalGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 32′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PSV Eindhoven: 23 shots, 7 on target, 2.79 xG. FC Groningen: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 32′Esmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 46′Ruben van Bommel · PSV Eindhoven · 49′Esmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 66′Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 39′Mats Seuntjens · FC Groningen · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PSV Eindhoven 2.79 xG · FC Groningen 1.32 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20 shots/matchShotsPSV Eindhoven · FC Groningen11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenFC GroningenBaseline
Shots20 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match16.3 shots/match17.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.3%PossessionPSV Eindhoven · FC Groningen46%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenFC GroningenBaseline
Possession60.3%46%46.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

PSV Eindhoven favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · FC Groningen in 0 · 14 too close

4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/33 goals/match
1.77 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.97 xG/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.77 xG/match
20 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/311.7 shots/match
14.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/316.3 shots/match
7.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/36.33 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/35.67 shots/match
60.3%Possessionseason · 3/346%
6.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/32.67 corners/match
5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/36.67 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/310.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

PSV Eindhoven91.7
FC Groningen41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

PSV Eindhoven91.7
FC Groningen52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

PSV Eindhoven86.1
FC Groningen41.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

PSV Eindhoven75
FC Groningen41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

PSV Eindhoven58.3
FC Groningen75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

PSV Eindhoven58.3
FC Groningen8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

PSV Eindhoven75
FC Groningen47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
4 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/33 goals/match
1.77 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.97 xG/match
20 shots/matchShots3/311.7 shots/match
7.67 shots/matchShots on target3/36.33 shots/match
60.3%Possession3/346%
6.67 corners/matchCorners3/32.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310.7 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
4 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/33 goals/match
1.77 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.97 xG/match
20 shots/matchShots3/311.7 shots/match
7.67 shots/matchShots on target3/36.33 shots/match
60.3%Possession3/346%
6.67 corners/matchCorners3/32.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
4 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/33 goals/match
1.77 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.97 xG/match
20 shots/matchShots3/311.7 shots/match
7.67 shots/matchShots on target3/36.33 shots/match
60.3%Possession3/346%
6.67 corners/matchCorners3/32.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.18 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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PSV Eindhoven vs FC Groningen — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath