Eredivisie · 2025Stadion Woudestein

Excelsior 1–0 FC Twente · Eredivisie

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Excelsior won 1–0.

Shots
1027
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
0.472.29
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Excelsior beat FC Twente 1–0. Recorded in this match (Excelsior – FC Twente): shots 10–27, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 0.47–2.29, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Twente show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsExcelsior · FC Twente17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricExcelsiorFC TwenteBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match17.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against18.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.8 fouls/matchFoulsExcelsior · FC Twente13.8 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricExcelsiorFC TwenteBaseline
Fouls14.8 fouls/match13.8 fouls/match11.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

FC Twente have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.3%PossessionExcelsior · FC Twente● 55.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricExcelsiorFC TwenteBaseline
Possession41.3%55.8%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots27 shotsExcelsior 10 shots, FC Twente 27 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsExcelsior 4 shots, FC Twente 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.47 xG2.29 xGExcelsior 0.47 xG, FC Twente 2.29 xG
  • Possession30%70%Excelsior 30%, FC Twente 70%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersExcelsior 1 corner, FC Twente 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsExcelsior 13 fouls, FC Twente 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Stan Henderikx · Excelsior · 11′ · 0.00 xG · on targetTaylor Booth · FC Twente · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIrakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMike van Duinen · Excelsior · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vennegoor of Hesselink · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobin Pröpper · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRamiz Zerrouki · FC Twente · 41′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJerolldino Bergraaf · Excelsior · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMike van Duinen · Excelsior · 83′ · 0.04 xG · goalSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRick Meissen · Excelsior · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 74′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBas Kuipers · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Booth · FC Twente · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArno Verschueren · FC Twente · 75′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDerensili Sanches Fernandes · Excelsior · 88′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 34′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 8′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBas Kuipers · FC Twente · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRobin Pröpper · FC Twente · 4′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 52′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLucas Vennegoor of Hesselink · FC Twente · 86′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRobin Pröpper · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMike van Duinen · Excelsior · 62′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 64′ · 0.19 xG · on targetDaan Rots · FC Twente · 45′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 76′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 34′ · 0.54 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Excelsior: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.36 xG. FC Twente: 27 shots, 8 on target, 2.58 xG. · 2 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Mike van Duinen · Excelsior · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Excelsior 0.36 xG · FC Twente 2.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Excelsior
1Draws
3FC Twente
Excelsior — FC Twente · Eredivisie0–3
FC Twente — Excelsior · Eredivisie4–2
Excelsior — FC Twente · Eredivisie0–0
FC Twente — Excelsior · Eredivisie4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Excelsior favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Twente in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Excelsior4 matchesFC Twente4 matches
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.5 goals/match
2.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.57 xG/match
9.75 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 17.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 5.25 shots/match
41.3%Possession4/4● 55.8%
3.25 corners/matchCorners4/4● 5 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls4/413.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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