Eredivisie · 2025Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 14:45 UTCFull timeAFAS StadionFull-time recap
33Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAZ AlkmaarFeyenoord
Shots9 shots/match19 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.17 xG/match1.95 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners4 corners/match11 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ayase Ueda · Feyenoord · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJordy Clasie · AZ Alkmaar · 72′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPeer Koopmeiners · AZ Alkmaar · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSem Steijn · Feyenoord · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWeslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuciano Valente · Feyenoord · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDenso Kasius · AZ Alkmaar · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSem Steijn · Feyenoord · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRo-Zangelo Daal · AZ Alkmaar · 24′ · 0.04 xG · goalAymen Sliti · Feyenoord · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDenso Kasius · AZ Alkmaar · 51′ · 0.04 xG · goalJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 56′ · 0.04 xG · goalJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnel Ahmedhodžić · Feyenoord · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSem Steijn · Feyenoord · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 78′ · 0.09 xG · goalAnel Ahmedhodžić · Feyenoord · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAymen Sliti · Feyenoord · 44′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSem Steijn · Feyenoord · 47′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMexx Meerdink · AZ Alkmaar · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetRo-Zangelo Daal · AZ Alkmaar · 57′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSem Steijn · Feyenoord · 31′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedSem Steijn · Feyenoord · 36′ · 0.82 xG · goalMexx Meerdink · AZ Alkmaar · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AZ Alkmaar: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.24 xG. Feyenoord: 19 shots, 3 on target, 1.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ro-Zangelo Daal · AZ Alkmaar · 24′Denso Kasius · AZ Alkmaar · 51′Mexx Meerdink · AZ Alkmaar · 90′Sem Steijn · Feyenoord · 36′Jordan Bos · Feyenoord · 56′Anis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AZ Alkmaar 1.24 xG · Feyenoord 1.95 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Feyenoord. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Feyenoord.

7.09 daysRest daysAZ Alkmaar · Feyenoord3.86 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAZ AlkmaarFeyenoordBaseline
Rest days7.09 days3.86 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/matchCornersAZ Alkmaar · Feyenoord8 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAZ AlkmaarFeyenoordBaseline
Corners6 corners/match8 corners/match5.25 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Feyenoord show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Feyenoord's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/matchShotsAZ Alkmaar · Feyenoord17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAZ AlkmaarFeyenoordBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match17.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match7.83 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

AZ Alkmaar favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Feyenoord in 7 · 7 too close

2.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/62.33 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/60.67 goals/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/62.02 xG/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/60.8 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/617.8 shots/match
13.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/67.83 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/66 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/61.67 shots/match
56%Possessionseason · 5/654.3%
6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/68 corners/match
4.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/62.83 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/69.67 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/667%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/6100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AZ Alkmaar75
Feyenoord69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AZ Alkmaar75
Feyenoord77.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AZ Alkmaar59.2
Feyenoord97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AZ Alkmaar80.6
Feyenoord91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AZ Alkmaar41.7
Feyenoord19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AZ Alkmaar69.4
Feyenoord97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AZ Alkmaar62.5
Feyenoord67.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.97 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShots5/517.4 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/56.4 shots/match
56%Possession5/553.2%
6 corners/matchCorners5/59 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 6 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/62.33 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/60.67 goals/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goals5/62.02 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShots5/617.8 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/66 shots/match
56%Possession5/654.3%
6 corners/matchCorners5/68 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/69.67 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 6 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/62.33 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/60.67 goals/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goals5/62.02 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShots5/617.8 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/66 shots/match
56%Possession5/654.3%
6 corners/matchCorners5/68 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/69.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 3 matches
Goals scored2/33 goals/match
Goals allowed2/31.33 goals/match
Expected goals2/32.22 xG/match
Shots2/319.7 shots/match
Shots on target2/37.33 shots/match
Possession2/354%
Corners2/38.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/39 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.86 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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