This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
This match
Match statistics
| Metric | SC Heerenveen | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14 shots/match▲ | 11 shots/match |
| Shots on target | 8 shots/match▲ | 6 shots/match |
| Expected goals | 3.08 xG/match▲ | 0.98 xG/match |
| Possession | 40% | 60% |
| Corners | 6 corners/match | 6 corners/match |
| Fouls | 10 fouls/match | 14 fouls/match |
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
SC Heerenveen: 14 shots, 8 on target, 2.82 xG. NEC Nijmegen: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.87 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Heerenveen 2.82 xG · NEC Nijmegen 0.87 xG.
30-second read
What the record shows
The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: NEC Nijmegen have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Both teams have elevated corners records
weakEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | SC Heerenveen | NEC Nijmegen | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 6 corners/match | 5.83 corners/match | 5.25 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateNEC Nijmegen have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | SC Heerenveen | NEC Nijmegen | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 51.2% | 62.2% | 50.5% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Metric comparison
Values, percentiles and samples
SC Heerenveen favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · NEC Nijmegen in 7 · 3 too close
Style profile
How the teams compare
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Recent form
Season, last 10 and last 5
Window
Last 5
Window
Last 10
Window
Season
Venue split
Home and away samples
Window
Home team at home / away team away
Schedule context
Rest and recent workload
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.