Eredivisie · 2025Abe Lenstra Stadion

SC Heerenveen 3–2 NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Heerenveen won 3–2.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
86
Expected goals
3.080.98
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Heerenveen beat NEC Nijmegen 3–2. Recorded in this match (SC Heerenveen – NEC Nijmegen): shots 14–11, shots on target 8–6, expected goals 3.08–0.98, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/match ●CornersSC Heerenveen · NEC Nijmegen5.83 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSC HeerenveenNEC NijmegenBaseline
Corners6 corners/match5.83 corners/match5.25 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

NEC Nijmegen have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.2%PossessionSC Heerenveen · NEC Nijmegen● 62.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSC HeerenveenNEC NijmegenBaseline
Possession51.2%62.2%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsSC Heerenveen 14 shots, NEC Nijmegen 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots6 shotsSC Heerenveen 8 shots, NEC Nijmegen 6 shots
  • Expected goals3.08 xG0.98 xGSC Heerenveen 3.08 xG, NEC Nijmegen 0.98 xG
  • Possession40%60%SC Heerenveen 40%, NEC Nijmegen 60%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersSC Heerenveen 6 corners, NEC Nijmegen 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsSC Heerenveen 10 fouls, NEC Nijmegen 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaas Willemsen · SC Heerenveen · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYoussef el Kachati · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 37′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 39′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVito van Crooij · NEC Nijmegen · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 86′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 44′ · 0.16 xG · on targetSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 83′ · 0.18 xG · goalMaas Willemsen · SC Heerenveen · 86′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedVasilios Zagaritis · SC Heerenveen · 11′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 65′ · 0.24 xG · goalAmourricho van Axel-Dongen · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.30 xG · on targetDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 50′ · 0.44 xG · goalJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 62′ · 0.46 xG · goalRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 25′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Heerenveen: 14 shots, 8 on target, 2.82 xG. NEC Nijmegen: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Ringo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 25′Dylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 50′Jacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 62′Koki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 65′Sami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Heerenveen 2.82 xG · NEC Nijmegen 0.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SC Heerenveen
1Draws
2NEC Nijmegen
SC Heerenveen — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie1–0
NEC Nijmegen — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie3–0
NEC Nijmegen — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–0
SC Heerenveen — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie1–1
NEC Nijmegen — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Heerenveen favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · NEC Nijmegen in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Heerenveen6 matchesNEC Nijmegen6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 3.17 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
2.04 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.33 xG/match
16 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 17 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 8.17 shots/match
51.2%Possession6/6● 62.2%
6 corners/match ●Corners6/65.83 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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