Eredivisie · 2025Philips Stadion

PSV Eindhoven 2–2 AFC Ajax · Eredivisie

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven and AFC Ajax drew 2–2.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
86
Expected goals
3.12.18
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven and AFC Ajax drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (PSV Eindhoven – AFC Ajax): shots 16–14, shots on target 8–6, expected goals 3.1–2.18, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.17 corners/matchCornersPSV Eindhoven · AFC Ajax● 7.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenAFC AjaxBaseline
Corners7.17 corners/match7.67 corners/match5.25 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

PSV Eindhoven's recent record differs from the season

weak

PSV Eindhoven's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season3.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match3.17 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AFC Ajax show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AFC Ajax's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.5 shots/match ▲ShotsPSV Eindhoven · AFC Ajax17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenAFC AjaxBaseline
Shots19.5 shots/match17.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match10.8 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsPSV Eindhoven 16 shots, AFC Ajax 14 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots6 shotsPSV Eindhoven 8 shots, AFC Ajax 6 shots
  • Expected goals3.1 xG2.18 xGPSV Eindhoven 3.1 xG, AFC Ajax 2.18 xG
  • Possession61%39%PSV Eindhoven 61%, AFC Ajax 39%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersPSV Eindhoven 9 corners, AFC Ajax 5 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsPSV Eindhoven 17 fouls, AFC Ajax 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Rosa · AFC Ajax · 83′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKasper Dolberg · AFC Ajax · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJerdy Schouten · PSV Eindhoven · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnass Salah-Eddine · PSV Eindhoven · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnass Salah-Eddine · PSV Eindhoven · 54′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYarek Gasiorowski · PSV Eindhoven · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOscar Gloukh · AFC Ajax · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOscar Gloukh · AFC Ajax · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYarek Gasiorowski · PSV Eindhoven · 52′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 58′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOwen Wijndal · AFC Ajax · 62′ · 0.08 xG · on targetIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOscar Gloukh · AFC Ajax · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 78′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 79′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDavy Klaassen · AFC Ajax · 51′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 45′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 47′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedKenneth Taylor · AFC Ajax · 45′ · 0.49 xG · on targetOscar Gloukh · AFC Ajax · 88′ · 0.49 xG · goalYarek Gasiorowski · PSV Eindhoven · 81′ · 0.52 xG · goalIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 7′ · 0.59 xG · goalRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 52′ · 0.59 xG · on targetKenneth Taylor · AFC Ajax · 31′ · 0.82 xG · goalRuben van Bommel · PSV Eindhoven · 33′ · 0.92 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PSV Eindhoven: 16 shots, 8 on target, 3.38 xG. AFC Ajax: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Ismael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 7′Yarek Gasiorowski · PSV Eindhoven · 81′Kenneth Taylor · AFC Ajax · 31′Oscar Gloukh · AFC Ajax · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PSV Eindhoven 3.38 xG · AFC Ajax 2.57 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2PSV Eindhoven
1Draws
2AFC Ajax
PSV Eindhoven — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie0–2
AFC Ajax — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie3–2
AFC Ajax — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–1
PSV Eindhoven — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie5–2
PSV Eindhoven — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PSV Eindhoven favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · AFC Ajax in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PSV Eindhoven6 matchesAFC Ajax6 matches
3.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/62 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1 goal/match
2 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.96 xG/match
19.5 shots/match ▲Shots6/617.3 shots/match
7.83 shots/matchShots on target6/67.5 shots/match
59.3% ●Possession6/657.7%
7.17 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.67 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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