PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Erve Asito

Heracles 3–0 Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Heracles won 3–0.

Shots
1218
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.311.43
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Heracles Almelo beat Sparta Rotterdam 3–0. Recorded in this match (Heracles Almelo – Sparta Rotterdam): shots 12–18, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.31–1.43, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Heracles Almelo have a visible home split

weak

Heracles Almelo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sparta Rotterdam show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sparta Rotterdam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHeracles Almelo · Sparta Rotterdam12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHeracles AlmeloSparta RotterdamBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against21 shots/match19.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Heracles Almelo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Heracles Almelo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.86 goals/match1.71 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots18 shotsHeracles 12 shots, Sparta Rotterdam 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsHeracles 5 shots, Sparta Rotterdam 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG1.43 xGHeracles 1.31 xG, Sparta Rotterdam 1.43 xG
  • Possession48%52%Heracles 48%, Sparta Rotterdam 52%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersHeracles 5 corners, Sparta Rotterdam 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsHeracles 12 fouls, Sparta Rotterdam 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lance Duijvestijn · Sparta Rotterdam · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTristan van Gilst · Heracles Almelo · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSayfallah Ltaief · Sparta Rotterdam · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSayfallah Ltaief · Sparta Rotterdam · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAyoub Oufkir · Sparta Rotterdam · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJannes Wieckhoff · Heracles Almelo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Limbombe · Heracles Almelo · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSayfallah Ltaief · Sparta Rotterdam · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Limbombe · Heracles Almelo · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIvan Mesík · Heracles Almelo · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJizz Hornkamp · Heracles Almelo · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTeo Quintero · Sparta Rotterdam · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Limbombe · Heracles Almelo · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJizz Hornkamp · Heracles Almelo · 6′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPelle Clement · Sparta Rotterdam · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJens Toornstra · Sparta Rotterdam · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYvandro Borges Sanches · Heracles Almelo · 65′ · 0.05 xG · goalMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 67′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLance Duijvestijn · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 39′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJizz Hornkamp · Heracles Almelo · 45′ · 0.16 xG · goalJulian Baas · Sparta Rotterdam · 87′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAyoub Oufkir · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJizz Hornkamp · Heracles Almelo · 21′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedJens Toornstra · Sparta Rotterdam · 78′ · 0.45 xG · on targetJizz Hornkamp · Heracles Almelo · 69′ · 0.67 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Heracles Almelo: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.36 xG. Sparta Rotterdam: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jizz Hornkamp · Heracles Almelo · 45′Yvandro Borges Sanches · Heracles Almelo · 65′Jizz Hornkamp · Heracles Almelo · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Heracles Almelo 1.36 xG · Sparta Rotterdam 1.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Heracles
2Draws
2Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie1–1
Sparta Rotterdam — Heracles · Eredivisie0–0
Sparta Rotterdam — Heracles · Eredivisie1–2
Heracles — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie0–1
Heracles — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Heracles favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Sparta Rotterdam in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Heracles7 matchesSparta Rotterdam7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
2.57 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.71 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.28 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲ 4.67 shots/match
41.4%Possession7/7● 41.9%
3.71 corners/match ●Corners7/72.71 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls7/67.17 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHeraclesSparta Rotterdam
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headHeracles — Sparta Rotterdam
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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