Eredivisie · 2025Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 16:45 UTCFull timeKras StadionFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC VolendamPEC Zwolle
Shots15 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.79 xG/match0.96 xG/match
Possession37%63%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Nick Verschuren · FC Volendam · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoel Ideho · FC Volendam · 59′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPrecious Ugwu · FC Volendam · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Voute · PEC Zwolle · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Thomas · PEC Zwolle · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHenk Veerman · FC Volendam · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Thomas · PEC Zwolle · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPrecious Ugwu · FC Volendam · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJan Faberski · PEC Zwolle · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTristan Gooijer · PEC Zwolle · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJan Faberski · PEC Zwolle · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoel Ideho · FC Volendam · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHenk Veerman · FC Volendam · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobert Mühren · FC Volendam · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kökçü · FC Volendam · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHenk Veerman · FC Volendam · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNordin Bukala · FC Volendam · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRyan Thomas · PEC Zwolle · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 25′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNordin Bukala · FC Volendam · 14′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKaj de Rooij · PEC Zwolle · 45′ · 0.22 xG · goalHenk Veerman · FC Volendam · 27′ · 0.25 xG · goalKaj de Rooij · PEC Zwolle · 25′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedNordin Bukala · FC Volendam · 8′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 56′ · 0.62 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Volendam: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.93 xG. PEC Zwolle: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Henk Veerman · FC Volendam · 27′Brandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 56′Kaj de Rooij · PEC Zwolle · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Volendam 1.93 xG · PEC Zwolle 1.02 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for PEC Zwolle. A second useful context is: PEC Zwolle's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for PEC Zwolle.

7.09 daysRest daysFC Volendam · PEC Zwolle2.95 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFC VolendamPEC ZwolleBaseline
Rest days7.09 days2.95 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

PEC Zwolle's recent record differs from the season

weak

PEC Zwolle's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goals/match1.71 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Volendam favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · PEC Zwolle in 2 · 7 too close

1.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/71 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/71.57 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.02 xG/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.6 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/78.86 shots/match
16.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/716.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/72.43 shots/match
6.14 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/76.29 shots/match
42.6%Possessionseason · 7/743.7%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/72.14 corners/match
5.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/75.57 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/710.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Volendam13.9
PEC Zwolle25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Volendam21.3
PEC Zwolle9.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Volendam33.3
PEC Zwolle37.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Volendam41.7
PEC Zwolle2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Volendam27.8
PEC Zwolle27.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Volendam30.6
PEC Zwolle2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Volendam21.6
PEC Zwolle9.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.81 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots5/59 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/52.4 shots/match
44.4%Possession5/543%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/71 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.02 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots7/78.86 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/72.43 shots/match
42.6%Possession7/743.7%
4 corners/matchCorners7/72.14 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls7/710.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/71 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.02 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots7/78.86 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/72.43 shots/match
42.6%Possession7/743.7%
4 corners/matchCorners7/72.14 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls7/710.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.23 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots4/410 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target4/43 shots/match
37.8%Possession4/446.8%
3.25 corners/matchCorners4/41.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls4/410.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.95 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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