Eredivisie · 2025BUKO Stadion

SC Telstar 2–2 Excelsior · Eredivisie

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Telstar and Excelsior drew 2–2.

Shots
1721
Shots on target
88
Expected goals
3.12.97
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Telstar and Excelsior drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (SC Telstar – Excelsior): shots 17–21, shots on target 8–8, expected goals 3.1–2.97, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Telstar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Telstar show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Telstar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Telstar · Excelsior12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC TelstarExcelsiorBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match17.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots21 shotsSC Telstar 17 shots, Excelsior 21 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots8 shotsSC Telstar 8 shots, Excelsior 8 shots
  • Expected goals3.1 xG2.97 xGSC Telstar 3.1 xG, Excelsior 2.97 xG
  • Possession46%54%SC Telstar 46%, Excelsior 54%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersSC Telstar 3 corners, Excelsior 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls15 foulsSC Telstar 8 fouls, Excelsior 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Patrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlias Bronkhorst · Excelsior · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIrakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNils Rossen · SC Telstar · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDerensili Sanches Fernandes · Excelsior · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathijs Tielemans · Excelsior · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDerensili Sanches Fernandes · Excelsior · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIrakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDylan Mertens · SC Telstar · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Schouten · Excelsior · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMike van Duinen · Excelsior · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIrakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 16′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDerensili Sanches Fernandes · Excelsior · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNoah Naujoks · Excelsior · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDevon Koswal · SC Telstar · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJerolldino Bergraaf · Excelsior · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdam Carlén · Excelsior · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 18′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSzymon Włodarczyk · Excelsior · 20′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGyan de Regt · Excelsior · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGyan de Regt · Excelsior · 77′ · 0.11 xG · goalKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 85′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSzymon Włodarczyk · Excelsior · 35′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRick Meissen · Excelsior · 41′ · 0.19 xG · on targetTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 28′ · 0.21 xG · goalJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 2′ · 0.23 xG · goalCasper Widell · Excelsior · 66′ · 0.27 xG · on targetSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 83′ · 0.41 xG · on targetPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 25′ · 0.81 xG · on targetArthur Zagre · Excelsior · 44′ · 0.82 xG · goalDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 59′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blockedArthur Zagre · Excelsior · 75′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Telstar: 17 shots, 8 on target, 3.11 xG. Excelsior: 21 shots, 8 on target, 3.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 2′Tyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 28′Arthur Zagre · Excelsior · 44′Gyan de Regt · Excelsior · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Telstar 3.11 xG · Excelsior 3.03 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Telstar favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Excelsior in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Telstar11 matchesExcelsior11 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/110.91 goals/match
1.91 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111.91 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.33 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots11/1112.8 shots/match
5.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114.36 shots/match
44.9% ●Possession11/1144.7%
5.82 corners/match ●Corners11/114.36 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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